Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Military Market Size, Share and Industry Growth Analysis Report by Offering (Software, Hardware, Services), Technology (Machine Learning, Natural Language Processing), Platform (Airborne, Land, Space), Application, Installation Type, and Region - Global Forecast to 2028
[285 Pages Report] The Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Military Market is estimated to be US$ 9.2 Billion in 2023 and is projected to reach US$ 38.8 Billion by 2028, at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 33.3% from 2023 to 2028. The Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Military Industry is driven by factors such as rising focus on development of high-precision military laser systems.
Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Military Market Forecast to 2028
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AI in Military Market Dynamics:
Drivers: Increase Investments in Development of AI-Enabled Solution to Strengthen Military Capabilities
The development of autonomous military systems drives the adoption of AI in the military market. The modern AI-enabled system helps to enhance the efficiency of military systems and strengthen their capabilities in Warfield. Therefore, the defense forces of leading countries have increased their defense spending to boost the deployment of AI on military platforms. According to a report by Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) in April 2023, the US, Russia, China, India, and Saudi Arabia collectively accounted for 63% of defense expenditure in 2022. Global military spending grew by 3.7% in 2022 and reached UD$ 2,240.0 billion. Nine major international conflicts have occurred in recent years, including the Russia-Ukraine war, the Saudi Arabia-Yemen conflict, the Syrian Civil War, US-Iran tensions, the India-China tensions, and Armenia-Azerbaijan border conflict. Such conflicts result in increased procurement of advanced AI-enabled weapon systems and the incorporation of newer technologies into existing systems to make them more efficient. In addition, in April 2021, eight European North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) members met the 2021 alliance’s goal of allocating at least 2% of their GDP to armed forces. The following table indicates the defense expenditures of major countries during 2020-2022.
Restraints: Lack of Protocols and Standards for Use of AI in Military Applications
The development, management, and successful implementation of AI systems require certain protocols. Presently, since only a few countries are using AI in the military arena, there are very few standards and protocols for their use.
As most AI capabilities are being developed by private companies, there is a lack of co-operation between governments and companies in developing these technologies. This is because companies are reluctant to share their intellectual property with the government, as there are no standard regulations. They also face complexities in defense acquisition processes and the lengthy and complicated legal framework involved, and thus, many companies have refused to do business with the US Department of Defense (DoD). Such factors indicate the lack of proper standards and protocol for the use of AI in military applications, which poses a restraint to market growth.
Opportunities: Incorporation of Quantum Computing in AI
A quantum computer works on phenomena such as “superposition” and “entanglement.” Through these computational advantages, a quantum computer can outperform any modern classical computer. For instance, Google recently reported that it developed a quantum processor, “Sycamore,” that has demonstrated the ability to solve a complex mathematical problem in 200 seconds, while the same results will only be obtained in 10,000 years using the most advanced supercomputer available today.
This power of quantum computing can also be introduced in AI systems. This will supercharge the AI systems that now depend on binary-based classical computing and enhance their capabilities. For instance, AI can crunch through a larger data set and learn from it to give a better model and, thus, more accurate predictions. This can have various applications in the defense industry for security and privacy. Having the ability to process larger datasets, the information can be processed much quicker locally rather than depending on the cloud. For instance, data from all sensors attached in an autonomous Ai-powered tank can be processed quickly, and decisions can be made faster. Quantum computing will play a huge role in cybersecurity, as this will power up the systems for faster detection of threats and take necessary countermeasures. This presents significant opportunities for the AI in military market.
Challenges: Concerns Related to Data Privacy and Security
The integration of AI with warfare systems requires data that can be used for training and building reliable AI programs. This data is crucial to develop and enhance AI systems. However, governments are reluctant to share military data with private companies owing to its sensitive nature as it may jeopardize the security of critical mission-based information. Several AI-enabled autonomous systems require encrypted communication and data transfer links, and as data transmitted from these systems is vulnerable to cyber-attacks, governments are more reluctant. With the number of sophisticated cyberattacks on the rise, governments are even more skeptical about entrusting their sensitive data to AI-enabled systems.
This, in effect, creates a vicious cycle: one that prevents AI systems from developing due to the unavailability of data and digital security compromises due to subsequently untrained AI systems. Thus, concerns related to the sharing of sensitive military data are acting as a key challenge to the growth of the AI in military market.
Ai In Military Market Ecosystem
Prominent companies in this market include well-established, financially stable providers of AI solution for military purpose. Major players operating in the AI in military market include Lockheed Martin Corporation (US), Raytheon Technologies Corporation (US), Northrop Grumman Corporation (US), BAE Systems plc (US), and Thales Group (France).
Based on the Offering, the Software Segment is Projected to Grow at the Highest CAGR in the AI in Military Market During the Forecast Period
Based on offering, the AI in military market has been segmented into hardware, software, and services. The hardware segment has been classified into processor, memory, and network. The growth of the software segment can be attributed to the significance of AI software in strengthening the IT framework to prevent incidents of a security breach. As data privacy policies and regulatory compliances have become stringent, the demand for cybersecurity solutions using AI is expected to increase in the near future. IBM is the leader in providing software powering AI.
Based on Application, the Information Processing Segment to Held Second Largest Share in the Base Year
Based on application, the market for artificial intelligence in the military has been segmented into warfare platforms, cybersecurity, logistics & transportation, surveillance & situational awareness, command & control, battlefield healthcare, simulation & training, information processing, threat/target monitoring and tracking, and others.
Among these the information processing segment to held second largest share in 2023. AI is used for the processing of a huge cache of data that provides valuable information. It helps in the culling and aggregation of information, which assists military personnel in recognizing patterns and derive correlations in data sets. AI acquires and sums supersets of information from various sources. The processed information is used for further investigation with machine learning or deep learning tools.
North America Hold Largst Share in 2023
The North America hold the largest share in 2023. This large share is due to the several factors such as, High spending on advancement of defense sector, strong focus on adoption of state-of-the-art technologies, and the presence of a leading players in the region.
Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Military Market by Region
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Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Military Companies - Key Market Players
Major Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Military Companies include Lockheed Martin Corporation (US), Raytheon Technologies Corporation (US), Northrop Grumman Corporation (US), BAE Systems plc (US), and Thales Group (France).
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Report Metric |
Details |
Estimated Market Size |
$ 9.2 Billion |
Projected Market Size |
$ 38.8 Billion |
Growth Rate |
33.3% |
Market Size Available for Years |
2019–2028 |
Base Year Considered |
2022 |
Forecast Period |
2023–2028 |
Forecast Units |
Value (US$ Million/Billion) |
Segments Covered |
Offering, Application, Technology, Platform, Installation Type, and Region |
Geographies Covered |
North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa, and Latin America |
Companies Covered |
Lockheed Martin Corporation (US), Raytheon Technologies Corporation (US), Northrop Grumman Corporation (US), BAE Systems plc (US), and Thales Group (France). L3Harris Technologies Inc. (US), and Rheinmetall AG (Germany) |
Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Military Market Highlights
This research report categorizes the AI in military market based on offering, application, technology, platform, installation type, and region.
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Recent Developments
- In April 2023, Raytheon Technologies Corporation launched its new AI-assisted EO/IR system, RAIVEN. This solution allows military pilots to obtain faster and more accurate threat identification.
- In March 2023, Northrop Grumman Corporation, in partnership with Shield AI, has been selected by the U.S. Army for the Future Tactical Unmanned Aircraft System (FTUAS) competition, Increment 2. This competition aims to replace the RQ-7B Shadow tactical unmanned aerial system (UAS) with advanced capabilities.
- In January 2023, Lockheed Martin Corporation introduced its new AI model Aegis. This model is used to improve the operation efficiency of Agis Combat System. The AI enabled Agis combat system offers improved operator decision making, situational awareness, reduced reaction time, and the ability to defend against hypersonic threats. It also predictively determines when parts will need maintenance before they break.
- In July 2022, Raytheon Technologies has chosen the C3 AI Platform to deliver state-of-the-art artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) capabilities, presenting a readily available solution for the U.S. Army's Tactical Intelligence Targeting Access Node (TITAN) program.
- In June 2022, Lockheed Martin Corporation introduced new AI/ML technology enable solution. First, a Cognitive Mission Manager, command and control suite of services designed to use AI/ML to deliver accurate, timely, and actionable intelligence to the ground commanders and operators. Second, Cognitive Tip & Cue product to find tanks on a battlefield. Third, AI/ML tools that offer Object Level and Pixel Level Change Detection using time series satellite imagery to deliver automated, rapid change detection. At last, TruthTrail, a prototype gamification application built off a gaming engine which presents a simulated environment that “rewards” labelers for their work.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ):
What is the Current Size of the Global AI in Military Market?
The AI in Military Market is projected to grow from US$ 9.2 Billion in 2023 to US$ 38.8 Billion by 2028; it is expected to grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 33.3% from 2023 to 2028.
Who Are the Winners in the Global AI in Military Market?
Companies such as Lockheed Martin Corporation, Raytheon Technologies Corporation, Northrop Grumman Corporation, BAE Systems plc, Thales Group. L3Harris Technologies Inc., and Rheinmetall AG
Which Region is Expected to Hold the Highest Market Share?
The North America hold the largest share in 2023. This large share is due to the several factors such as, High spending on advancement of defense sector, strong focus on adoption of state-of-the-art technologies, and the presence of a leading players in the region.
What Are the Major Drivers and Opportunities Related to the AI in Military Market?
Increase Investments in Development of AI-Enabled Solution to Strengthen Military Capabilities and Incorporation of Quantum Computing in AI are some of the major drivers and opportunities related to the AI in Military Market
What Are the Major Strategies Adopted by Market Players?
The key players have adopted product launches, acquisitions, and partnerships to strengthen their position in the AI in Military Market.
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The research study conducted on the AI in military market involved extensive use of secondary sources, including directories, databases of articles, journals on AI in military, company newsletters, and information portals such as Hoover’s, Bloomberg, and Factiva to identify and collect information useful for this extensive, technical, market-oriented study of the AI in military market. Primary sources are several industry experts from the core and related industries, alliances, organizations, Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs), vendors, suppliers, and technology developers. These sources relate to all segments of the value chain of the AI in military market.
In-depth interviews were conducted with various primary respondents, including key industry participants, subject-matter experts, C-level executives of key market players, and industry consultants, among others, to obtain and verify critical qualitative and quantitative information and to assess future prospects of the market.
Secondary Research
In the secondary research process, various secondary sources were referred to identify and collect information for this study on the AI in military market. Secondary sources included annual reports, press releases, and investor presentations of companies; white papers and certified publications; articles from recognized authors; manufacturer's associations; directories; and databases. Secondary research was mainly used to obtain key information about the supply chain of the AI in military industry, the monetary chain of the market, the total pool of key players, market classification and segmentation according to the industry trends to the bottom-most level, regional markets, and key developments from both market- and technology-oriented perspectives.
Primary Research
Extensive primary research was conducted to obtain qualitative and quantitative information for this report on the AI in military market. Several primary interviews were conducted with the market experts from both demand- and supply-side across major regions, namely, North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa, and Latin America. Primary sources from the supply-side included industry experts such as business development managers, sales heads, technology and innovation directors, and related key executives from various key companies and organizations operating in the AI in military market.
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Market Size Estimation
Extensive research into AI in military sources and the concurrent advances in machine learning technology have pushed technology to the level where fully configured AI in military are now being designed and tested for imminent deployment. Advances in AI/ML technology and its global demand propelling the demand for AI in military.
The top-down and bottom-up approaches were used to estimate and validate the size of the AI in military market. The figure in the section below is a representation of the overall market size estimation process employed for the purpose of this study.
The research methodology used to estimate the market size also includes the following details.
- Key players in the industry and markets were identified through secondary research, and their market share was determined through primary and secondary research. This included an extensive study of annual and financial reports of top market players and interviews of CEOs, directors, and marketing executives.
- All percentage shares, splits, and breakdowns were determined using secondary sources and verified through primary sources.
- All possible parameters that affect the markets covered in this research study were accounted for, viewed in extensive detail, verified through primary research, and analyzed to obtain the final quantitative and qualitative data.
This data was consolidated, enhanced with detailed inputs, analyzed by MarketsandMarkets, and presented in this report.
The research methodology used to estimate the market size also included the following details:
- All possible parameters that affect the markets covered in this research study were accounted for, viewed in extensive detail, verified through primary research, and analyzed to obtain the final quantitative and qualitative data. This data was consolidated, enhanced with detailed inputs, and analyzed by MarketsandMarkets and presented in this report.
- Market growth trends were defined based on approaches such as the product revenues of the major 10-15 companies from 2019 to 2022, military expenditure, exports/imports of AI in military parts and equipment by different countries from 2019 to 2022, historic procurement patterns between 2019 to 2022, among others.
Market size estimation methodology: Bottom-Up Approach
Market size estimation methodology: Top Down Approach
Data Triangulation
After arriving at the overall size of the AI in military market from the market size estimation process explained above, the total market was split into several segments and subsegments. The data triangulation and market breakdown procedures explained below were implemented, wherever applicable, to complete the overall market engineering process and arrive at the estimated sizes of different market segments and subsegments. The data was triangulated by studying various factors and trends from both the demand and supply sides. Additionally, the market size was validated using both the top-down and bottom-up approaches.
Market Definition
AI (Artificial Intelligence) in the military refers to the utilization of AI technologies and applications in various aspects of defense and military operations. AI has the potential to revolutionize the way military forces operate, enabling enhanced decision-making, improved efficiency, and increased effectiveness in a range of defense-related activities.
Key Stakeholders
- AI Technology Providers
- System Integrators
- AI Solution Providers
- AI Platform Providers
- Cloud Service Providers
- AI System Providers
- Investors and Venture Capitalists
- Component Manufacturers
- Distributors and Suppliers
- Universities, Research Organizations, Forums, Alliances, and Associations
- Ministries of Defense
- Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs)
- Regulatory Bodies
- R&D Companies
Report Objectives
- To define, describe, and forecast the size of the market based on offering, application, technology, platform, and installation type, along with a regional analysis
- To forecast the size of different segments of the market with respect to four key regions, namely, North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa, and Latin America, along with their key countries
- To identify and analyze key drivers, restraints, opportunities, and challenges influencing the growth of the market
- To identify technology trends currently prevailing in the market
- To provide an overview of the tariff and regulatory landscape with respect to AI in military across different regions
- To analyze micromarkets1 with respect to individual growth trends, prospects, and their contribution to the overall market
- To analyze opportunities in the market for stakeholders by identifying key market trends
- To analyze the impact of the recession on the market and its stakeholders
- To profile the leading market players and comprehensively analyze their market share and core competencies2
- To analyze the degree of competition in the market by identifying key growth strategies, such as constant innovation, high R&D investment, new product and service launch, collaborations & expansions, contracts, acquisitions, partnerships, and agreements, adopted by the leading market players
- To identify detailed financial positions, key products, and unique selling points of leading companies in the market
- To provide a detailed competitive landscape of the AI in military market, along with a ranking analysis, market share analysis, and revenue analysis of the key players
Micromarkets refer to further segments and subsegments of the AI in military market included in the report.
Core competencies of companies were captured in terms of their key developments and key strategies adopted by them to sustain their position in the market.
Available customizations
Along with the market data, MarketsandMarkets offers customizations as per the specific needs of companies. The following customization options are available for the report:
Product Analysis
- Product matrix, which gives a detailed comparison of the product portfolio of each company
Regional Analysis
- Further breakdown of the market segments at country-level
Company Information
- Detailed analysis and profiling of additional market players (up to 5)
Growth opportunities and latent adjacency in Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Military Market