Autonomous Train Market

Autonomous Train Market by Level of Automation (GOA1, GOA2, GOA3, GOA4), Technology (CBTC, ERTMS, ATC, PTC), Application, Component (Antenna, Camera), Train Type (Metro, Light Rail, Bullet Train/HSR), Track Length, and Region - Global Forecast to 2030

Report Code : AT 6300
Published ON : May, 2018

[146 Pages Report] The autonomous train market, in terms of volume, is projected to grow at a CAGR of 4.87% from 2018 to 2030. The market is estimated at 54,558 Units in 2017 and is projected to reach 106,290 Units by 2030. In this study, 2017 has been considered the base year, and 2018–2030 is the forecast period, for estimating the market size of the market.

The market report studies the autonomous train market and forecasts the market size, by volume, based on the level of automation (GOA1, GOA2, GOA3, GOA4), train type (metro/monorail, light rail, high-speed rail/bullet train), technology (CBTC, ERTMS, PTC, ATC), application (passenger and freight), component (tachometer, doppler, accelerometer, camera, antenna, radio set), and track length. The increasing demand for efficient transportation with a high level of safety is expected to drive the market across the globe. The Asia Pacific region is expected to be the fastest growing market, due to the high adoption of technology, large number of projects, and increase in government spending towards railway transportation.

The research methodology used in the report involves various secondary sources such as the International Association of Public Transport (UITP), Indian Railway Welfare Organization (IRWO), Federal Railroad Administration (FRA), Association of American Railroads (AAR), Association of the European Rail Industry (AERI), and paid databases and directories. Experts from related industries and suppliers have been interviewed to understand the future trends of the market. The bottom-up and top-down approaches have been used to estimate and validate the size of the global market. The market size, by volume, is derived by identifying the country-wise operational train volumes and analyzing the demand trends.

The figure given below illustrates the break-up of the profile of industry experts who participated in primary discussions.

Autonomous Train Market

To know about the assumptions considered for the study, download the pdf brochure

The ecosystem of the autonomous train market consists of manufacturers such as Alstom (France), Siemens (Germany), Bombardier (Canada), Hitachi (Japan), and Kawasaki Heavy Industries (Japan).

Target Audience

  • Infrastructure Providers for Railway Lines
  • Manufacturers of Rail Components
  • Rail Leasing Authorities
  • Rail Service Providers
  • Railway Contractors
  • Railway Industry Associations
  • Railway Manufacturers
  • Railways Organizations/Associations
  • Raw Material Suppliers for Autonomous Trains
  • Traders, Distributors, and Suppliers of Autonomous Trains

Scope of the Report

  • By Level of Automation
    • GOA 1
    • GOA 2
    • GOA 3
    • GOA 4
  • By Train Type
    • Metro/Monorail
    • Light Rail
    • High-speed Rail/Bullet Train
  • By Technology
    • CBTC
    • ERTMS
    • PTC
    • ATC
  • By Application
    • Passenger
    • Freight
  • By Component
    • Tachometer
    • Doppler
    • Accelerometer
    • Camera
    • Antenna
    • Radio Set
  • By Track Length
    • Asia Pacific
    • Europe
    • North America
    • Middle East & Africa
    • RoW
  • By Region
    • Asia Pacific
    • Europe
    • North America
    • Middle East & Africa
    • RoW

Available Customizations

MarketsandMarkets offers the following customizations for this market:

  1. Autonomous train market, additional components
  2. Profiling of additional market players (Up to 3)

The autonomous train market is estimated to be 60,078 Units in 2018 and is projected to reach 106,290 Units by 2030, at a CAGR of 4.87% from 2018 to 2030. The key growth driver for the market is the rise in demand for safety, security, and efficient transport.

The metro/monorail segment is estimated to be the largest market in 2018. Being a safe, efficient, reliable, and affordable mode of transport, the metro/monorail is expected to account for the largest share in the market during the forecast period. The advantages of high capacity and short travel duration are leading to the global implementation of the metro rail. Increased safety with the implementation of GOA 4 technology has also fueled the growth of the metro. However, high-speed rails/bullet trains are estimated to be the fastest-growing segment in the market, due to the increase in demand for safety systems, efficiency, and ease of operation.

The GOA 4 segment of the autonomous train market is projected to grow at the highest CAGR during the forecast period. The growth of the GOA 4 segment is driven by various ongoing/upcoming projects across the globe. In these projects, the government plays the major role of budget allocation for infrastructure development and deployment of driverless trains. Low electricity consumption, less wear & tear of components, and more passenger room would also drive the market for GOA 4 trains.

By component, the camera is expected to be the largest market, which can be attributed to the increasing need to monitor systems to increase the safety of passengers. The camera is also projected to be the fastest-growing market during the forecast period. The increasing demand for safety inside the trains is expected to drive the growth of cameras, which monitor, calculate passenger count, and process the overload capacity by sharing real-time information with the server.

The Asia Pacific region is the largest and fastest-growing market in the global autonomous train market. The market growth in the region can be attributed to the increasing infrastructural development, increase in government spending on the transportation sector, and ongoing/upcoming projects in various countries. The Asia Pacific market is led by emerging countries, including China and India, where the installation of metro lines is growing at a faster pace than other countries in the region. The increased levels of automation and demand for efficient and safe transportation are major factors expected to drive the market for autonomous trains.

Autonomous Train Market

The key factors restraining the growth of the market are the long stopping distance and cost incurred in developing infrastructure for autonomous trains. The autonomous train market is dominated by a few global players and comprises several regional players. Some of the key manufacturers operating in the market are Alstom (France), Siemens (Germany), Bombardier (Canada), Hitachi (Japan), and Kawasaki Heavy Industries (Japan).

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Table of Contents

1 Introduction (Page No. - 14)
    1.1 Objectives of the Study
    1.2 Market Definition
    1.3 Market Scope
           1.3.1 Years Considered for the Study
    1.4 Currency
    1.5 Package Size
    1.6 Limitations
    1.7 Stakeholders

2 Research Methodology (Page No. - 18)
    2.1 Research Data
    2.2 Secondary Data
           2.2.1 Key Data From Secondary Sources
    2.3 Primary Data
           2.3.1 Sampling Techniques & Data Collection Methods
           2.3.2 Primary Participants
    2.4 Market Breakdown & Data Triangulation
    2.5 Market Size Estimation
           2.5.1 Bottom-Up Approach
           2.5.2 Top-Down Approach
    2.6 Research Assumptions

3 Executive Summary (Page No. - 27)

4 Premium Insights (Page No. - 34)
    4.1 Attractive Opportunities in the Autonomous Train Market
    4.2 Autonomous Train Market Share, By Region & By Grade of Automation, By Volume, 2030
    4.3 Autonomous Train Market Share, By Region
    4.4 Autonomous Train Market, By Application
    4.5 Autonomous Train Market, By Train Type
    4.6 Autonomous Train Market, By Technology

5 Market Overview (Page No. - 40)
    5.1 Introduction
    5.2 Market Dynamics
           5.2.1 Drivers
                    5.2.1.1 Increased Safety and Service Benefits for Onboard Passengers
                    5.2.1.2 Increased Budget Allocations for the Development of Railways
           5.2.2 Restraints
                    5.2.2.1 Long Stopping Distance and Time Required By Autonomous Trains and Lack of Proper Railway Infrastructure
           5.2.3 Opportunities
                    5.2.3.1 Development of Autonomous Freight Trains
                    5.2.3.2 Low Energy Consumption and Operational Costs of Autonomous Trains
           5.2.4 Challenges
                    5.2.4.1 Inability of DTO Systems to Carry Out Required Protection Functions During Emergency Situations and Lack of Human Intervention
                    5.2.4.2 Failure of Systems to Carry Out Door Operations in Autonomous Trains

6 Autonomous Train Market, By Train Type (Page No. - 44)
    6.1 Introduction
    6.2 Metro/Monorail
    6.3 Light Rail
    6.4 High-Speed Rail/Bullet Train

7 Autonomous Train Market, By Application Type (Page No. - 50)
    7.1 Introduction
    7.2 Passenger Train
    7.3 Freight Train

8 Autonomous Train Market, By Grade of Automation (Page No. - 54)
    8.1 Introduction
    8.2 GOA 1
    8.3 GOA 2
    8.4 GOA 3
    8.5 GOA 4

9 Autonomous Train Market, By Technology (Page No. - 60)
    9.1 Introduction
    9.2 Automatic Train Control (ATC)
    9.3 Communication Based Train Control (CBTC)
    9.4 European Railway Traffic Management System (ERTMS)
    9.5 Positive Train Control (PTC)

10 Autonomous Train Market, By Component (Page No. - 67)
     10.1 Introduction
     10.2 Tachometer
     10.3 Doppler
     10.4 Accelerometer
     10.5 Camera
     10.6 Antenna
     10.7 Radio Set

11 Autonomous Train Market, By Track Length (Page No. - 75)
     11.1 Introduction
     11.2 Asia Pacific
             11.2.1 Upcoming Metro/Monorail Projects in Asia Pacific
             11.2.2 Upcoming Light Rail Projects in Asia Pacific
             11.2.3 Upcoming High-Speed Rail/Bullet Train Projects in Asia Pacific
     11.3 Europe
             11.3.1 Upcoming Metro/Monorail Projects in Europe
             11.3.2 Upcoming Light Rail Projects in Europe
             11.3.3 Upcoming High-Speed Rail/Bullet Train Projects in Europe
     11.4 North America
             11.4.1 Upcoming Metro/Monorail Projects in North America
             11.4.2 Upcoming Light Rail Projects in North America
             11.4.3 Upcoming High-Speed Rail/Bullet Train Projects in North America
     11.5 Middle East & Africa (MEA)
             11.5.1 Upcoming Metro/Monorail Projects in the Middle East & Africa
     11.6 Rest of the World (RoW)
             11.6.1 Upcoming Metro/Monorail Projects in Rest of the World

12 Autonomous Train Market, By Region (Page No. - 86)
     12.1 Introduction
     12.2 Asia Pacific
     12.3 Europe
     12.4 North America
     12.5 Middle East & Africa (MEA)
     12.6 Rest of the World (RoW)

13 Competitive Landscape (Page No. - 100)
     13.1 Overview
     13.2 Autonomous Train Market Ranking Analysis
     13.3 Competitive Situation & Trends
     13.4 Expansions
     13.5 Mergers & Acquisitions
     13.6 New Product Developments
     13.7 Partnerships/Agreements/Collaborations/ Supply Contracts

14 Company Profiles (Page No. - 104)
(Business Overview, Products Offered, Recent Developments & SWOT Analysis)*
     14.1 Alstom
     14.2 Siemens
     14.3 Bombardier
     14.4 Hitachi
     14.5 Kawasaki Heavy Industries
     14.6 General Electric
     14.7 Thales Group
     14.8 Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
     14.9 CRRC
     14.10 ABB
     14.11 CAF
     14.12 Calamp
     14.13 Other Key Regional Players
             14.13.1 Asia Pacific
                        14.13.1.1 Beijing Traffic Control Technology
                        14.13.1.2 Bharat Forge
                        14.13.1.3 Tech Mahindra Ltd.
                        14.13.1.4 Hollysys
             14.13.2 Europe
                        14.13.2.1 Deutsche Bahn
                        14.13.2.2 Intesens
                        14.13.2.3 Deuta
             14.13.3 North America
                        14.13.3.1 Belden
                        14.13.3.2 American Equipment Company
                        14.13.3.3 Ingeteam
                        14.13.3.4 Wabtec Corporation
             14.13.4 Rest of the World
                        14.13.4.1 Transmashholding
                        14.13.4.2 Tvema

*Details on Business Overview, Products Offered, Recent Developments & SWOT Analysis View Might Not Be Captured in Case of Unlisted Companies.

15 Appendix (Page No. - 139)
     15.1 Key Industry Insights
     15.2 Discussion Guide
     15.3 Knowledge Store: Marketsandmarkets’ Subscription Portal
     15.4 Available Customizations
     15.5 Related Reports
     15.6 Author Details


List of Tables (46 Tables)

Table 1 Currency Exchange Rates (W.R.T. USD)
Table 2 Autonomous Train Market – Overview, 2018 vs 2030
Table 3 Autonomous Train Market Size, By Train Type, 2016–2030 (Units)
Table 4 Metro/Monorail: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Grade of Automation, 2016–2030 (Units)
Table 5 Light Rail: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Grade of Automation, 2016–2030 (Units)
Table 6 High-Speed Rail/Bullet Train: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Grade of Automation, 2016–2030 (Units)
Table 7 Autonomous Train Market Size, By Application, 2016–2030 (Units)
Table 8 Passenger Train: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Grade of Automation, 2016–2030 (Units)
Table 9 Freight Train: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Grade of Automation, 2016–2030 (Units)
Table 10 Autonomous Train Market Size, By Grade of Automation, 2016–2030 (Units)
Table 11 GOA 1: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Train Type, 2016–2030 (Units)
Table 12 GOA 2: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Train Type, 2016–2030 (Units)
Table 13 GOA 3: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Train Type, 2016–2030 (Units)
Table 14 GOA 4: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Train Type, 2016–2030 (Units)
Table 15 Autonomous Train Market Size, By Technology, 2016–2030 (USD Billion)
Table 16 ATC: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Region, 2016–2030 (USD Million)
Table 17 CBTC: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Region, 2016–2030 (USD Million)
Table 18 ERTMS: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Region, 2016–2030 (USD Million)
Table 19 PTC: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Region, 2016–2030 (USD Million)
Table 20 Tachometer: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Region, 2016–2030 (000’ Units)
Table 21 Doppler: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Region, 2016–2030 (000’ Units)
Table 22 Accelerometer: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Region, 2016–2030 (000’ Units)
Table 23 Camera: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Region, 2016–2030 (000’ Units)
Table 24 Antenna: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Region, 2016–2030 (000’ Units)
Table 25 Radio Set: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Region, 2016–2030 (000’ Units)
Table 26 Proposed Metro/Monorail Projects in Asia Pacific
Table 27 Proposed Light Rail Projects in Asia Pacific
Table 28 Proposed Light Rail Projects in Asia Pacific
Table 29 Proposed Metro/Monorail Projects in Europe
Table 30 Proposed Light Rail Projects in Europe
Table 31 Proposed High-Speed Rail/Bullet Train Projects in Europe
Table 32 Proposed Metro/Monorail Projects in North America
Table 33 Proposed Light Rail Projects in North America
Table 34 Proposed High-Speed Rail/Bullet Train Projects in North America
Table 35 Proposed Metro/Monorail Projects in the Middle East & Africa
Table 36 Proposed Metro/Monorail Projects in the Rest of the World
Table 37 Autonomous Train Market, By Region, 2016–2030 (Units)
Table 38 Asia Pacific: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Train Type, 2016–2030 (Units)
Table 39 Europe: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Train Type, 2016–2030 (Units)
Table 40 North America: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Train Type, 2016–2030 (Units)
Table 41 MEA: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Train Type, 2016–2030 (Units)
Table 42 RoW: Autonomous Train Market Size, By Train Type, 2016–2030 (Units)
Table 43 Expansions, April 2017 – March 2018
Table 44 Mergers & Acquisitions, April 2017 – March 2018
Table 45 New Product Developments, April 2017 – March 2018
Table 46 Partnerships/Agreements/Collaborations/Supply Contracts, April 2017 – March 2018


List of Figures (69 Figures)

Figure 1 Autonomous Train Market: Research Design
Figure 2 Research Methodology Model
Figure 3 Breakdown of Primary Interviews
Figure 4 Data Triangulation
Figure 5 Autonomous Train Market: Bottom-Up Approach
Figure 6 Autonomous Train Market: Top-Down Approach
Figure 7 Autonomous Train Market: Asia Pacific is Estimated to Be the Largest and the Fastest Growing Market, By Volume, 2018–2030
Figure 8 Autonomous Train Market Size, By Grade of Automation, 2018 vs 2030
Figure 9 Autonomous Train Market Size, By Train Type, 2018 vs 2030
Figure 10 Autonomous Train Market Size, By Application (Units), 2018 vs 2030
Figure 11 Autonomous Train Market Size, By Technology (Market Share – 2018)
Figure 12 Increasing Demand for Safety and the Need for Efficient Transport Globally are Driving the Autonomous Train Market, 2018–2030 (Units)
Figure 13 Autonomous Train Market Share, By Region and By Grade of Automation, 2030
Figure 14 Autonomous Train Market: Asia Pacific Projected to Grow at the Highest CAGR (Units) During the Forecast Period
Figure 15 Passenger Segment to Account for the Largest Market Share, By Volume, 2018
Figure 16 Metro/Monorail Segment to Account for the Largest Market Share, By Volume, 2018
Figure 17 CBTC Segment to Account for the Largest Market Share, By Value, 2018
Figure 18 Autonomous Train Market Dynamics
Figure 19 Autonomous Train Market, By Train Type, 2018 vs 2030 (Units)
Figure 20 Metro/Monorail: Autonomous Train Market, By Grade of Automation, 2018 vs 2030 (Units)
Figure 21 Light Rail: Autonomous Train Market, By Grade of Automation, 2018 vs 2030 (Units)
Figure 22 High-Speed Rail/Bullet Train: Autonomous Train Market, By Grade of Automation, 2018 vs 2030 (Units)
Figure 23 Autonomous Train Market, By Application, 2018 vs 2030 (Units)
Figure 24 Passenger Train: Autonomous Train Market, By Grade of Automation, 2018 vs 2030 (Units)
Figure 25 Freight Train: Autonomous Train Market, By Grade of Automation, 2018 vs 2030 (Units)
Figure 26 Autonomous Train Market, By Grade of Automation, 2018 vs 2030 (In Units)
Figure 27 GOA 1: Autonomous Train Market, By Train Type, 2018 vs 2030 (Units)
Figure 28 GOA 2: Autonomous Train Market, By Train Type, 2018 vs 2030 (Units)
Figure 29 GOA 3: Autonomous Train Market, By Train Type, 2018 vs 2030 (Units)
Figure 30 GOA 4: Autonomous Train Market, By Train Type, 2018 vs 2030 (Units)
Figure 31 Autonomous Train Market, By Technology, 2018 vs 2030 (USD Billion)
Figure 32 ATC: Autonomous Train Market, By Region, 2018 vs 2030 (USD Million)
Figure 33 CBTC: Autonomous Train Market, By Region, 2018 vs 2030 (USD Million)
Figure 34 ERTMS: Autonomous Train Market, By Region, 2018 vs 2030 (USD Million)
Figure 35 PTC: Autonomous Train Market, By Region, 2018 vs 2030 (USD Million)
Figure 36 Tachometer: Autonomous Train Market, By Region, 2018 vs 2030 (000’ Units)
Figure 37 Doppler: Autonomous Train Market, By Region, 2018 vs 2030 (000’ Units)
Figure 38 Accelerometer: Autonomous Train Market, By Region, 2018 vs 2030 (000’ Units)
Figure 39 Camera: Autonomous Train Market, By Region, 2018 vs 2030 (000’ Units)
Figure 40 Antenna: Autonomous Train Market, By Region, 2018 vs 2030 (000’ Units)
Figure 41 Radio Set: Autonomous Train Market, By Region, 2018 vs 2030 (000’ Units)
Figure 42 The Market in Asia Pacific is Expected to Be the Fastest Growing in the Autonomous Train Market During the Forecast Period, By Volume, 2018 vs 2030
Figure 43 Asia Pacific: Autonomous Train Market Snapshot
Figure 44 The Metro/Monorail Segment is Expected to Account for the Largest Market Share, By Volume, 2018 vs 2030 (Units)
Figure 45 Europe: Autonomous Train Market Snapshot
Figure 46 Light Rail Segment is Expected to Account for the Largest Market Share, By Volume, 2018 vs 2030 (Units)
Figure 47 North America: Autonomous Train Market Snapshot
Figure 48 Light Rail is Expected to Account for the Largest Market Share, By Volume, 2018 vs 2030 (Units)
Figure 49 Metro/Monorail is Expected to Lead the Autonomous Train Market, By Volume, 2018 vs 2030 (Units)
Figure 50 Light Rail is Expected to Lead the Autonomous Train Market, By Volume, 2018 vs 2030 (Units)
Figure 51 Companies Adopted Expansions as the Key Growth Strategy Between April 2014 and March 2018
Figure 52 Ranking of Companies in the Autonomous Train Market Till April 2018
Figure 53 Alstom: Company Snapshot
Figure 54 Alstom: SWOT Analysis
Figure 55 Siemens: Company Snapshot
Figure 56 Siemens: SWOT Analysis
Figure 57 Bombardier: Company Snapshot
Figure 58 Bombardier: SWOT Analysis
Figure 59 Hitachi: Company Snapshot
Figure 60 Hitachi: SWOT Analysis
Figure 61 Kawasaki Heavy Industries: Company Snapshot
Figure 62 Kawasaki Heavy Industries: SWOT Analysis
Figure 63 General Electric: Company Snapshot
Figure 64 Thales Group: Company Snapshot
Figure 65 Mitsubishi Heavy Industries: Company Snapshot
Figure 66 CRRC: Company Snapshot
Figure 67 ABB: Company Snapshot
Figure 68 CAF: Company Snapshot
Figure 69 Calamp: Company Snapshot


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