Autonomous Train Market Size, Share & Analysis

Report Code AT 6300
Published in Feb, 2024, By MarketsandMarkets™
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Autonomous Train Market by Level of Automation (GOAI, GOA2, GOA3, GOA4), Technology (CBTC, ERTMS, ATC, PTC), Application, Component, Train Type (Metro, Light Rail, Bullet Train/HSR), Track Length, GOA 4 Systems and Region - Global Forecast to 2030

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Overview

The global autonomous train market size was valued at USD 13.6 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 18.9 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 5.7% during the forecast period 2024-2030. During the forecast period, Asia Pacific is expected to lead the autonomous train market, followed by Europe. Metro line installation continues to grow rapidly in the Asia Pacific area. Because of this, the automated metro market in the area seems promising. Owing to expanding government spending on transportation, the ongoing and forthcoming projects in many nations, and the developing infrastructure advancements, the Asia Pacific area is the largest growing region in global market. The market for autonomous trains is anticipated to be driven largely by rising levels of automation and the need for safe, effective transportation.

Attractive Opportunities in the Autonomous Train Market

Asia Pacific

Market growth in Asia Pacific can be attributed to the growing urbanization, government regulations, and the demand for safety and security.

The growth of the autonomous train market can be attributed to the increasing adoption of advanced technologies and the need for safety.

The market in Asia Pacific is projected to be USD 9.5 billion by 2030.

Continuous developments in rail infrastructure are expected to offer lucrative opportunities for the market players in the coming years.

Market growth is attributed to the growth of smart city projects and technologies shifts.

Global Autonomous Train Market Dynamics

Driver: Increased safety operational benefits

Trains with high levels of automation allow for greater control over speed and the creation of efficient traffic control plans. It also lessens the possibility of accidents brought on by human error.Lawsuits arising from accidents brought on by train drivers' carelessness or incapacity are costly. The European Union and the railroad industry fund the public-private cooperation known as Shift2Rail, which aims to give the European rail network a high degree of safety, interoperability, and reliability. An operational safety enhancement tool called Automated Train Operation is utilized to assist in automating train operations. The Grade of Automation (GOA), which goes up to GOA level 4 (where the train is autonomously managed without any people on board), indicates the level of automation. Since it is simpler to guarantee human safety on transit and rapid transit systems, ATO is mostly utilized there. Most systems have a driver installed to reduce the possibility of malfunctions or emergencies. In July 2023, Hitachi Ltd developed the first fully autonomous metro- Skyline in Honolulu, US with automatic train operation (ATO) GoA4 (Grade of Automation) system.

Restraint: Slow growth rate of GDP and inadequate infrastructure spending in developing countries

The autonomous train system requires efficient infrastructure and adequate transportation services. The introduction of such advanced technology is primarily observed in the developed nations such as the U.S., U.K., and Japan. Further, the developing economies including India, Brazil, and South Africa are also planning to deploy the autonomous train system. However, due to the high cost involved in infrastructure development and land acquisition, the implementation of autonomous train transportation is at a slow pace in developing countries. The smart public transportation system requires a robust infrastructure. In developing countries such as India, Brazil, and South Africa, infrastructure is still in a very nascent stage. It requires prominent efforts for the adoption of innovative technologies to suit the existing railway networks. The market for autonomous trains would expand slowly overall in developing nations . As number of developing nations continue to lack the funding necessary to upgrade their rail systems. A few nations with underdeveloped rail systems include Uganda, Nigeria, Albania, Uruguay, and Colombia. Investing in railway infrastructure becomes more important for nations without robust railway networks than digitalizing existing infrastructure. The implementation of modern digital technology requires a robust rail and communication infrastructure. Specific digital technologies, including passenger analytics and traffic management, are only effective when used at a specific size. It is unlikely that many developing nations with weak communication and rail systems will implement autonomous train technologies very soon.

 

Opportunity: Transforming mining logistics with autonomous trains

Mining firms, particularly those in the Americas, Australia, and Europe, consider Autonomous Haulage Systems (AHS) as a more cost-effective, dependable, and safe alternative for operating mines due to the high labor expenses and potential hazards associated with the terrain. Furthermore, autonomous haulage systems can improve productivity and efficiency while monitoring sustainability and safety. Bombardier’s (Canada) INTERFLO system is the optimal choice for both industrial automated haulage systems and heavy haulage lines. It provides maximum rail capacity with the least amount of wayside space.In July 2023, Hexagon AB (Sweden), and Mineral Resources (MinRes) (Australia) jointly ventured to provide an autonomous haulage solution for a fleet of 120 fully autonomous road trains in Australia, to transform safety, productivity and sustainability in the region. Thus, autonomous trains will remove the risk of driver fatigue, lower operating costs and reduce fuel use and emissions.

Challenge: Inability of DTO systems to carry out required protection functions during emergency situations and lack of human intervention

Emergency situations in urban rail transit systems can disrupt normal operations of the railway; these situations must be dealt with immediately. Most of these emergency situations are caused by human error. Though automated metro systems have no drivers, and some work of dispatchers is carried out by DTO systems, the emergency management still heavily depends on traffic dispatchers. According to the Modular Urban Guided Rail System (MODURBAN) statement, the detection and management of hazardous situations should involve traffic dispatchers, even for autonomous or driverless trains with the highest GOA. Equipment failure, passenger behavior, social disasters, etc., may often cause emergency situations in running trains. In such scenarios, DTO systems may not be able to carry out automated protection functions. Thus, systems used in autonomous or driverless trains should be failure proof so that these systems can perform their required functions in emergency situations as well. The presence of drivers in trains results in their continuous interaction with passengers in the form of announcements, guidelines, and interpretation of various environmental conditions. However, in the absence of drivers, the link between passengers and the metro system is lost. In autonomous or driverless trains, there is no driver to detect and troubleshoot small system failures or pass the information to a control center about the system failure or current situation in the train.

Global Autonomous Train Market Ecosystem Analysis

Market Ecosystem Autonomous trains market ecosystem consists of Tier 1: System Integrators: These are the companies responsible for designing, integrating, and testing the complete autonomous train system, including hardware, software, and communication infrastructure. Examples, Toshiba Corporation, Tech Mahindra Ltd. Tier 2: Subcomponent Suppliers: These companies provide individual components and subsystems to Tier 1 integrators, such as: sensors (lidar, radar, cameras), computing hardware and software, communication systems (5g, cellular), propulsion systems (electric motors, batteries) and Service /solution provider companies offer various services related to the operation and maintenance of autonomous trains, Atos SE and Sierra Wireless are some of them.

The Metro/Monorail train segment is estimated to be the fastest growing market during the forecast period.

In terms of volume, the market's metro/monorail train segment is anticipated to expand at the fastest rate during the forecast period with a CAGR of 7.4%. Increasing need for urban transit and increased traffic, the metro/monorail train segment is anticipated to grow at the fastest rate. The urban cities are overcrowded during rush hours, causing significant delays. Thus, governments across various countries are investing in metro/monorail projects to develop and enhance the urban transport network, making it punctual, safe to use and comfortable. It helps to boost the growing demand for autonomous metro/monorail market segment. For instance, Dominican Republic (Latin America) has invested USD 544.84 million to build first monorail led by Alstom SA. Under this contract, Alstom SA is responsible of the system's integration, testing, and commissioning as well as the provision of 13 Inoovia monorail trains, each of these with four carriages, driverless signaling, power supply, track installation, high-speed switchgear system, and related depot equipment. To provide transportation facilities in densely populated cities, China successfully tested Skytrain monorail in May 2023 at a maximum speed of 60 km/h. The Government initiative for urban transport network and technological advancement drives the metro/monorail train segment.

GoA 2 segment is largest market to lead between 2024 and 2030 for Autonomous Train Market by Grade of Automation (GoA).

During the course of the projection period, an excellent rate of growth is anticipated in the autonomous train market, broken down by automation grade. Between 2024 and 2030, the GOA 2 segment is anticipated to dominate the market. This market sector, which is featured in a number of train classifications, represents one of the fundamental levels of automation in trains. During the forecast period, the market's GOA 4 category is anticipated to develop at the greatest CAGR. The need for greater safety as well as cost savings and rail network optimization, as well as other ongoing projects and countries investment on infrastructure and transportation, are the primary drivers of the GOA 4 segment's growth. The GOA 2 category is the largest market by grade of automation (GOA) since the GOA 4 segment is primarily driven by ongoing projects.

Asia Pacific Region Holds the Largest share of the Autonomous Train Market

Asia Pacific is the largest and the fastest growing region in the global autonomous train market because of the development of rail infrastructure, increase in government spending on the transportation sector, and ongoing/upcoming projects in various countries of this region. Countries such as China, Japan, India, and South Korea are supporting the growth of the railway industry. In May 2023, Japanese railways announced by 2028 driverless bullet train will be in operation for passengers. Tokaido Shinkansen bullet train is equipped with automatic train operation (ATO) technology. Also, in May 2021, Siemens announced a supply contract for main control centers with Korean National Railway’s company EntechWorld. The main SCADA (Supervisory Control and Data Acquisitions) control centers will be controlling and monitoring 3.5 million passengers daily in the Korean railway system. The trains will be operational from 2024. With the increased focus on high-speed rail programs in China, investments in the country’s rail infrastructure and equipment have increased. China announced the investments worth USD 51.6 billion in the railway sector during the first half of 2023. In February 2024, China has started high speed rail freight lines from Chongqing and Zhengzhou in central China. The new freight line covers over a thousand kilometers within five hours while carrying freight of up to 15 metric tons. In December 2021, China launched a new high-speed railway line in Shandong province and launched two new high-speed railway lines in its Central and North-East regions.

Recent Developments of Autonomous Train Market industry

  • In January 2024, Siemens AG installed ETCS in two trainsets operating in the Pääkaupunkiseudun Junakalusto Oy fleet as a part of Finnish DigiRail project. The state of Sweden will test ETCS in accordance with the most recent standards outlined in the European technical specification, TSI 2023.
  • In January 2024, Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (Wabtec) has developed Trip Optimizer, energy-management software to efficiently operate trains for more than 1 billion auto miles. The software automatically controls locomotive throttle and dynamic brakes to reduce fuel burn and provide efficient train handling.

Key Market Players

KEY PLAYERS IN THE Autonomous Train Market INCLUDE

  • Alstom SA (France)
  • Siemens AG (Germany)
  • Hitachi Ltd. (Japan)
  • Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (Wabtec) (US)
  • Thales Group (France)

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Scope of the Report

Report Attribute Details
Market size available for years 2019–2030
Base year considered 2023
Forecast period 2024–2030
Forecast units Volume (Units) and Value (USD Billion)
Segments covered By Level of Automation, Train Type, Technology, Application, Component, GoA 4 ongoing and upcoming projects
Geographies covered Asia Pacific, Europe, North America, Middle East & Africa and Rest of the World
Companies Covered Alstom SA (France), Siemens AG (Germany), Hitachi Ltd. (Japan), Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (Wabtec) (US), and Thales Group (France)

 

Key Questions Addressed by the Report

What are the different segments are covered in report for autonomous train market?
The autonomous train market, by Grade of Automation, Train Type, Technology, Application, Component, and Region
Who are the major players in the autonomous train market?
Alstom SA (France), Siemens AG(Germany), Hitachi Ltd. (Japan), Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (Wabtec)(US), and Thales Group (France) are the leading players operating in the autonomous train market.
What are the key strategies adopted by top players to increase their revenue?
The companies have adopted multiple strategies, including new product developments, deals and others to stay ahead in this competitive market.
What are the new market trends impacting the growth of the autonomous train market?
Increasing emphasis on smart infrastructure, the growing need for safety and compliance in rail transit is driving the autonomous train market.
Which regions are considered in the report?
The report covers market sizing for regions including Asia Pacific, Europe, North America, Middle East & Africa and Rest of World.

 

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Table of Contents

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TITLE
PAGE NO
INTRODUCTION
21
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
28
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
41
PREMIUM INSIGHTS
45
MARKET OVERVIEW
49
  • 5.1 INTRODUCTION
  • 5.2 MARKET DYNAMICS
    DRIVERS
    - Increased safety operational benefits
    - Increased budget allocations along with upcoming rail projects
    - Low energy consumption and operational costs of autonomous trains
    - Growing need for safety and compliance in rail transit
    - Growing demand for public transport
    RESTRAINTS
    - Lack of technology infrastructure and interoperability in emerging economies
    - Slow growth rate and inadequate infrastructure spending in emerging economies
    - High initial investment
    OPPORTUNITIES
    - Transforming mining logistics with autonomous trains
    CHALLENGES
    - Inability of DTO systems to carry out required protection functions during emergency situations and lack of human intervention
    - High capital cost of automation, threat of cyberattacks, and lack of comprehensive infrastructure
  • 5.3 PRICING ANALYSIS
  • 5.4 ECOSYSTEM ANALYSIS
  • 5.5 VALUE CHAIN ANALYSIS
  • 5.6 CASE STUDY ANALYSIS
    CISCO HELPED DEFINE META-MODEL (FRAMEWORK)
    AUTOHAUL BY HITACHI RAIL AND RIO TINTO
    BGAN BY INMARSAT
    ALSTOM PARTNERED WITH SNC-LAVALIN FOR REM PROJECT IN CANADA
    BANE NOR (NORWAY) SELECTED THALES TO PROVIDE NEXT-GENERATION NATION-WIDE TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT SYSTEM
    INTELLIGENT SOFTWARE SYSTEM BY HUAWEI
  • 5.7 INVESTMENT AND FUNDING SCENARIO
  • 5.8 PATENT ANALYSIS
    INTRODUCTION
    TOP PATENT APPLICANTS
  • 5.9 TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS
    WILDLIFE DETECTION SYSTEM
    BIOMETRIC TOKEN SYSTEM
    CLOUD COMPUTING IN ROLLING STOCK
    INTERNET OF THINGS IN RAILWAYS
    EUROPE’S RAIL FLAGSHIP PROJECTS
    - Flagship Project 1: MOTIONAL
    - Flagship Project 2: R2DATO
    - Flagship Project 3: IAM4RAIL
    - Flagship Project 4: RAIL4EARTH
    - Flagship Project 5: TRANS4M-R
    - Flagship Project 6: FUTURE
  • 5.10 TRADE ANALYSIS
    IMPORT DATA
    EXPORT DATA
  • 5.11 REGULATORY LANDSCAPE
    EUROPEAN NETWORK AND INFORMATION SECURITY AGENCY (ENISA)
    GENERAL DATA PROTECTION REGULATION (GDPR)
    INTERNATIONAL UNION OF RAILWAYS (UIC)
    REGULATORY BODIES, GOVERNMENT AGENCIES, AND OTHER ORGANIZATIONS
  • 5.12 KEY CONFERENCES AND EVENTS
  • 5.13 TRENDS AND DISRUPTIONS IMPACTING CUSTOMER BUSINESS
  • 5.14 KEY STAKEHOLDERS AND BUYING CRITERIA
    BUYING CRITERIA
    KEY STAKEHOLDERS
    - Influence of stakeholders on buying process of autonomous trains
    KEY STAKEHOLDERS IN BUYING PROCESS
AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET, BY GOA4 SYSTEM
94
  • 6.1 INTRODUCTION
  • 6.2 ASIA PACIFIC
  • 6.3 EUROPE
  • 6.4 NORTH AMERICA
AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET, BY GOA
99
  • 7.1 INTRODUCTION
  • 7.2 GOA1
    HIGH ADOPTION OF METRO/MONORAIL TO DRIVE GROWTH
  • 7.3 GOA2
    NEED FOR IMPROVED OPERATIONAL EFFICIENCY TO DRIVE GROWTH
  • 7.4 GOA3
    ADVANCED SOLUTIONS BY KEY MARKET PLAYERS SUPPORTING GOA3 TO DRIVE GROWTH
  • 7.5 GOA4
    REDUCTION IN REACTION DELAYS AND ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION TO DRIVE GROWTH
  • 7.6 PRIMARY INSIGHTS
AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE
106
  • 8.1 INTRODUCTION
    OPERATIONAL DATA
  • 8.2 METRO/MONORAIL
    HIGH-CAPACITY CARRIERS AND LESS TRAVEL DURATION TO DRIVE GROWTH
  • 8.3 LIGHT RAIL
    LOW OPERATING COSTS TO DRIVE GROWTH
  • 8.4 HIGH-SPEED RAIL/BULLET TRAIN
    UPCOMING HIGH-SPEED RAIL/BULLET TRAIN PROJECTS TO DRIVE GROWTH
  • 8.5 PRIMARY INSIGHTS
AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET, BY TECHNOLOGY
115
  • 9.1 INTRODUCTION
    OPERATIONAL DATA
  • 9.2 POSITIVE TRAIN CONTROL (PTC)
    IMPROVING RAIL INFRASTRUCTURE TO DRIVE GROWTH
  • 9.3 COMMUNICATIONS-BASED TRAIN CONTROL (CBTC)
    INCREASING ADOPTION OF MONORAILS AND METROS TO DRIVE GROWTH
  • 9.4 AUTOMATED TRAIN CONTROL (ATC)
    ABILITY TO IMPROVE TRAFFIC FLOW AND ENERGY CONSUMPTION TO DRIVE GROWTH
  • 9.5 EUROPEAN RAILWAY TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT SYSTEM (ERTMS)
    EUROPE AND NORTH AMERICA TO DRIVE GROWTH
  • 9.6 PRIMARY INSIGHTS
AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET, BY APPLICATION
124
  • 10.1 INTRODUCTION
    OPERATIONAL DATA
  • 10.2 PASSENGER TRAIN
    DEVELOPMENT OF RAIN INFRASTRUCTURE FOR HIGHER SAFETY AND EFFICIENCY TO DRIVE GROWTH
  • 10.3 FREIGHT TRAIN
    NEED FOR SAFE AND EFFICIENT TRANSPORT OF COMMODITIES TO DRIVE GROWTH
  • 10.4 PRIMARY INSIGHTS
AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET, BY COMPONENT
130
  • 11.1 INTRODUCTION
  • 11.2 TACHOMETER
    ABILITY TO MAINTAIN SAFE SPEED BETWEEN TWO TRAINS AND PREVENT POSSIBILITY OF ACCIDENTS TO DRIVE GROWTH
  • 11.3 DOPPLER
    REAL-TIME PROCESSING ENHANCING TRAIN SAFETY TO DRIVE GROWTH
  • 11.4 ACCELEROMETER
    CONSTANT ACCELERATION MEASUREMENT TO DRIVE GROWTH
  • 11.5 CAMERA
    ABILITY TO PROVIDE CLEAR FOOTAGE OF PANTOGRAPH TO DRIVE GROWTH
  • 11.6 ANTENNA
    INTRODUCTION OF INTERNET CONNECTIVITY FOR PASSENGER WI-FI TO DRIVE GROWTH
  • 11.7 RADIO SET
    NEED FOR SEAMLESS RADIO COMMUNICATIONS TO DRIVE GROWTH
  • 11.8 ODOMETER
    CRITICAL ROLE IN CALCULATING SPEED AND ASCERTAINING POSITION OF TRAIN TO DRIVE GROWTH
  • 11.9 RADAR
    ABILITY TO DETECT OBJECTS WITHIN DEFINED RANGE TO DRIVE GROWTH
  • 11.10 LIDAR
    CAPABILITY OF CAPTURING MILLIONS OF PRECISE DISTANCE MEASUREMENT POINTS EVERY SECOND TO DRIVE GROWTH
  • 11.11 PRIMARY INSIGHTS
AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET, BY REGION
143
  • 12.1 INTRODUCTION
  • 12.2 ASIA PACIFIC
    RECESSION IMPACT
    CHINA
    - High government investments in railway infrastructure to drive growth
    INDIA
    - Government initiatives for smart cities to drive growth
    JAPAN
    - Presence of advanced rail infrastructure to drive growth
    SOUTH KOREA
    - Significant scope for development of rail infrastructure to drive growth
  • 12.3 EUROPE
    RECESSION IMPACT
    UK
    - Need to improve efficiency of existing railway infrastructure to drive growth
    GERMANY
    - Growing adoption of IoT and analytics to drive growth
    FRANCE
    - High investments by railway operators to drive growth
  • 12.4 NORTH AMERICA
    RECESSION IMPACT
    US
    - Heavy investment in rail infrastructure to drive growth
    CANADA
    - Increasing number of passengers and growing freight traffic to drive growth
    MEXICO
    - Growing need to automate public transportation processes to drive growth
  • 12.5 MIDDLE EAST & AFRICA
    RECESSION IMPACT
    UAE
    - Improving rail infrastructure to drive growth
    SOUTH AFRICA
    - Increasing demand for transportation services to match trade requirements to drive growth
  • 12.6 REST OF THE WORLD (ROW)
    RECESSION IMPACT
    BRAZIL
    - High scope for development of rai infrastructure to drive growth
    IRAN
    - Expansion of rail network to drive growth
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
164
  • 13.1 OVERVIEW
  • 13.2 REVENUE ANALYSIS OF TOP LISTED/PUBLIC PLAYERS
  • 13.3 MARKET SHARE ANALYSIS
    ALSTOM SA
    SIEMENS
    THALES GROUP
    HITACHI LTD.
    WABTEC CORPORATION
  • 13.4 COMPANY VALUATION AND FINANCIAL METRICS
  • 13.5 COMPANY EVALUATION MATRIX
    STARS
    EMERGING LEADERS
    PERVASIVE PLAYERS
    PARTICIPANTS
    COMPANY FOOTPRINT
  • 13.6 STARTUP/SME EVALUATION MATRIX
    PROGRESSIVE COMPANIES
    RESPONSIVE COMPANIES
    DYNAMIC COMPANIES
    STARTING BLOCKS
    COMPETITIVE BENCHMARKING
  • 13.7 COMPETITIVE SCENARIO
    PRODUCT LAUNCHES
    DEALS
COMPANY PROFILES
189
  • 14.1 KEY PLAYERS
    ALSTOM SA
    - Business overview
    - Products/Solutions offered
    - Recent developments
    - MnM view
    SIEMENS
    - Business overview
    - Products/Solutions offered
    - Recent developments
    - MnM view
    HITACHI LTD.
    - Business overview
    - Products/Solutions offered
    - Recent developments
    - MnM view
    WABTEC CORPORATION
    - Business overview
    - Products/Solutions offered
    - Recent developments
    - MnM view
    THALES GROUP
    - Business overview
    - Products/Solutions offered
    - MnM view
    MITSUBISHI HEAVY INDUSTRIES
    - Business overview
    - Products/Solutions offered
    - Recent developments
    CRCC
    - Business overview
    - Products/Solutions offered
    - Recent developments
    ABB
    - Business overview
    - Products/Solutions offered
    - Recent developments
    CAF
    - Business overview
    - Products/Solutions offered
    NOKIA
    - Business overview
    - Products/Solutions offered
    - Recent developments
  • 14.2 OTHER KEY PLAYERS
    BEIJING TRAFFIC CONTROL TECHNOLOGY
    TECH MAHINDRA LTD.
    HOLLYSYS
    DEUTSCHE BAHN
    DEUTA
    BELDEN
    AMERICAN EQUIPMENT COMPANY
    INGETEAM
    TRANSMASHHOLDING
    TVEMA
    KAWASAKI HEAVY INDUSTRIES
    CALAMP
APPENDIX
247
  • 15.1 INSIGHTS FROM INDUSTRY EXPERTS
  • 15.2 DISCUSSION GUIDE
  • 15.3 KNOWLEDGESTORE: MARKETSANDMARKETS’ SUBSCRIPTION PORTAL
  • 15.4 CUSTOMIZATION OPTIONS
    AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET, ADDITIONAL COMPONENTS
    PROFILES OF ADDITIONAL MARKET PLAYERS (UP TO 3)
  • 15.5 RELATED REPORTS
  • 15.6 AUTHOR DETAILS
LIST OF TABLES
 
  • TABLE 1 CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATES
  • TABLE 2 LIST OF PARTICIPATING COMPANIES FOR PRIMARY RESEARCH
  • TABLE 3 IMPACT OF MARKET DYNAMICS
  • TABLE 4 AUTONOMOUS TRAIN TECHNOLOGIES AND THEIR BENEFITS
  • TABLE 5 INVESTMENT FOR AMTRAK PROJECT BY US GOVERNMENT, 2024
  • TABLE 6 MAJOR RAPID TRANSIT PROJECTS IN ASIA PACIFIC
  • TABLE 7 PLANNED LIGHT RAIL PROJECTS IN ASIA PACIFIC
  • TABLE 8 MAJOR LIGHT RAIL PROJECTS IN ASIA PACIFIC
  • TABLE 9 PROPOSED HIGH-SPEED RAIL/BULLET TRAIN PROJECTS IN EUROPE
  • TABLE 10 MAJOR RAPID TRANSIT PROJECTS IN EUROPE
  • TABLE 11 DEMAND FOR HIGH-SPEED RAIL SEGMENTED BY DISTANCE IN SPAIN
  • TABLE 12 KEY INDICATORS FOR INVESTMENTS IN RAIL INDUSTRY
  • TABLE 13 RAIL COMMUTER DATA BREACH INCIDENTS (2020–2023)
  • TABLE 14 PRICING ANALYSIS FOR AUTONOMOUS TRAIN SYSTEM SOLUTIONS
  • TABLE 15 ROLE OF COMPANIES IN ECOSYSTEM
  • TABLE 16 LIST OF FUNDING IN 2021–2023
  • TABLE 17 PATENTS RELATED TO AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET
  • TABLE 18 US: IMPORT, BY COUNTRY (%)
  • TABLE 19 MEXICO: IMPORT, BY COUNTRY (%)
  • TABLE 20 GERMANY: IMPORT, BY COUNTRY (%)
  • TABLE 21 FRANCE: IMPORT, BY COUNTRY (%)
  • TABLE 22 UK: IMPORT, BY COUNTRY (%)
  • TABLE 23 GERMANY: EXPORT, BY COUNTRY (%)
  • TABLE 24 US: EXPORT, BY COUNTRY (%)
  • TABLE 25 CHINA: EXPORT, BY COUNTRY (%)
  • TABLE 26 CZECH REPUBLIC: EXPORT, BY COUNTRY (%)
  • TABLE 27 AUSTRIA: EXPORT, BY COUNTRY (%)
  • TABLE 28 EUROPEAN NETWORK AND INFORMATION SECURITY AGENCY STANDARDS
  • TABLE 29 NORTH AMERICA: REGULATORY BODIES, GOVERNMENT AGENCIES, AND OTHER ORGANIZATIONS
  • TABLE 30 EUROPE: REGULATORY BODIES, GOVERNMENT AGENCIES, AND OTHER ORGANIZATIONS
  • TABLE 31 ASIA PACIFIC: REGULATORY BODIES, GOVERNMENT AGENCIES, AND OTHER ORGANIZATIONS
  • TABLE 32 REST OF THE WORLD: REGULATORY BODIES, GOVERNMENT AGENCIES, AND OTHER ORGANIZATIONS
  • TABLE 33 KEY CONFERENCES AND EVENTS, 2024–2025
  • TABLE 34 KEY BUYING CRITERIA, BY APPLICATION
  • TABLE 35 INFLUENCE OF STAKEHOLDERS ON BUYING PROCESS, BY APPLICATION
  • TABLE 36 INSTRUMENTS FOR QUALITY CONTROL FOR AUTONOMOUS TRAIN PRODUCTS AND SERVICES
  • TABLE 37 CHINA: GOA4 TRAIN SYSTEMS
  • TABLE 38 INDIA: GOA4 TRAIN SYSTEMS
  • TABLE 39 SOUTH KOREA: GOA4 TRAIN SYSTEMS
  • TABLE 40 FRANCE: GOA4 TRAIN SYSTEMS
  • TABLE 41 ITALY: GOA4 TRAIN SYSTEMS
  • TABLE 42 CANADA: GOA4 TRAIN SYSTEMS
  • TABLE 43 US: GOA4 TRAIN SYSTEMS
  • TABLE 44 AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET, BY GOA, 2019–2023 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 45 MARKET, BY GOA, 2024–2030 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 46 GOA1: MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2019–2023 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 47 GOA1: MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2024–2030 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 48 GOA2: MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2019–2023 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 49 GOA2: MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2024–2030 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 50 GOA3: MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2019–2023 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 51 GOA3: MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2024–2030 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 52 GOA4: MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2019–2023 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 53 GOA4: MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2024–2030 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 54 MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2019–2023 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 55 MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2024–2030 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 56 MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2019–2023 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 57 MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2024–2030 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 58 MAJOR RAPID TRANSIT PROJECTS IN ASIA PACIFIC
  • TABLE 59 PROPOSED LIGHT RAIL PROJECTS IN ASIA PACIFIC
  • TABLE 60 METRO/MONORAIL: AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET, BY GOA, 2019–2023 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 61 METRO/MONORAIL: MARKET, BY GOA, 2024–2030 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 62 LIGHT RAIL: MARKET, BY GOA, 2019–2023 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 63 LIGHT RAIL: MARKET, BY GOA, 2024–2030 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 64 HIGH-SPEED RAIL/BULLET TRAIN: MARKET, BY GOA, 2019–2023 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 65 HIGH-SPEED RAIL/BULLET TRAIN: MARKET, BY GOA, 2024–2030 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 66 MARKET, BY TECHNOLOGY, 2019–2023 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 67 MARKET, BY TECHNOLOGY, 2024–2030 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 68 AUTONOMOUS TRAIN OFFERINGS BASED ON TECHNOLOGY
  • TABLE 69 POSITIVE TRAIN CONTROL: MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2023 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 70 POSITIVE TRAIN CONTROL: MARKET, BY REGION, 2024–2030 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 71 COMMUNICATIONS-BASED TRAIN CONTROL: MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2023 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 72 COMMUNICATIONS-BASED TRAIN CONTROL: MARKET, BY REGION, 2024–2030 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 73 AUTOMATED TRAIN CONTROL: MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2023 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 74 AUTOMATED TRAIN CONTROL: MARKET, BY REGION, 2024–2030 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 75 EUROPEAN RAILWAY TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT SYSTEM: MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2023 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 76 EUROPEAN RAILWAY TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT SYSTEM: MARKET, BY REGION, 2024–2030 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 77 AUTONOMOUS TRAIN OFFERINGS
  • TABLE 78 PASSENGER TRAIN: MARKET, BY GOA, 2019–2023 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 79 PASSENGER TRAIN: MARKET, BY GOA, 2024–2030 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 80 METRO/MONORAIL (PASSENGER TRAIN): MARKET, BY GOA, 2019-2023 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 81 METRO/MONORAIL (PASSENGER TRAIN): MARKET, BY GOA, 2024–2030 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 82 LIGHT RAIL (PASSENGER TRAIN): MARKET, BY GOA, 2019–2023 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 83 LIGHT RAIL (PASSENGER TRAIN): MARKET, BY GOA, 2024–2030 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 84 HIGH-SPEED RAIL/BULLET TRAIN (PASSENGER TRAIN): MARKET, BY GOA, 2019–2023 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 85 HIGH-SPEED RAIL/BULLET TRAIN (PASSENGER TRAIN): MARKET, BY GOA, 2024–2030 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 86 MARKET, BY COMPONENT, 2019–2023 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 87 MARKET, BY COMPONENT, 2024–2030 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 88 TACHOMETER: MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2023 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 89 TACHOMETER: MARKET, BY REGION, 2024–2030 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 90 DOPPLER: MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2023 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 91 DOPPLER: MARKET, BY REGION, 2024–2030 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 92 ACCELEROMETER: MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2023 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 93 ACCELEROMETER: MARKET, BY REGION, 2024–2030 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 94 CAMERA: MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2023 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 95 CAMERA: MARKET, BY REGION, 2024–2030 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 96 ANTENNA: MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2023 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 97 ANTENNA: MARKET, BY REGION, 2024–2030 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 98 RADIO SET: MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2023 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 99 RADIO SET: MARKET, BY REGION, 2024–2030 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 100 ODOMETER: MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2023 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 101 ODOMETER: MARKET, BY REGION, 2024–2030 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 102 RADAR: MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2023 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 103 RADAR: MARKET, BY REGION, 2024–2030 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 104 LIDAR: MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2023 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 105 LIDAR: MARKET, BY REGION, 2024–2030 (USD MILLION)
  • TABLE 106 MARKET, BY REGION, 2019–2023 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 107 MARKET, BY REGION, 2024–2030 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 108 ASIA PACIFIC: MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2019-2023 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 109 ASIA PACIFIC: MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2024–2030 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 110 EUROPE: MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2019–2023 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 111 EUROPE: MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2024–2030 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 112 NORTH AMERICA: MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2019–2023 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 113 NORTH AMERICA: MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2024–2030 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 114 MIDDLE EAST & AFRICA: MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2019–2023 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 115 MIDDLE EAST & AFRICA: MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2024–2030 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 116 ROW: MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2019–2023 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 117 ROW: MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2024–2030 (UNITS)
  • TABLE 118 COMPANY FOOTPRINT, 2023
  • TABLE 119 COMPANY PRODUCT FOOTPRINT, 2023
  • TABLE 120 COMPANY REGION FOOTPRINT, 2023
  • TABLE 121 LIST OF KEY STARTUPS/SMES
  • TABLE 122 MARKET: PRODUCT LAUNCHES, 2019–2023
  • TABLE 123 MARKET: DEALS, 2019–2023
  • TABLE 124 MARKET: EXPANSIONS, 2019–2023
  • TABLE 125 MARKET: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS, 2019–2023
  • TABLE 126 ALSTOM SA: COMPANY OVERVIEW
  • TABLE 127 ALSTOM SA: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED
  • TABLE 128 ALSTOM SA: PRODUCT LAUNCHES/DEVELOPMENTS
  • TABLE 129 ALSTOM SA: DEALS
  • TABLE 130 ALSTOM SA: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS
  • TABLE 131 SIEMENS: COMPANY OVERVIEW
  • TABLE 132 SIEMENS: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED
  • TABLE 133 SIEMENS: PRODUCT LAUNCHES/DEVELOPMENTS
  • TABLE 134 SIEMENS: DEALS
  • TABLE 135 SIEMENS: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS
  • TABLE 136 HITACHI LTD.: COMPANY OVERVIEW
  • TABLE 137 HITACHI LTD.: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED
  • TABLE 138 HITACHI LTD.: PRODUCT LAUNCHES/DEVELOPMENTS
  • TABLE 139 HITACHI LTD.: DEALS
  • TABLE 140 HITACHI LTD.: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS
  • TABLE 141 WABTEC CORPORATION: COMPANY OVERVIEW
  • TABLE 142 WABTEC CORPORATION: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED
  • TABLE 143 WABTEC CORPORATION: PRODUCT LAUNCHES/DEVELOPMENTS
  • TABLE 144 WABTEC CORPORATION: DEALS
  • TABLE 145 WABTEC CORPORATION: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS
  • TABLE 146 WABTEC CORPORATION: EXPANSIONS
  • TABLE 147 THALES GROUP: COMPANY OVERVIEW
  • TABLE 148 THALES GROUP: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED
  • TABLE 149 THALES GROUP: DEALS
  • TABLE 150 THALES GROUP: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS
  • TABLE 151 THALES GROUP: EXPANSIONS
  • TABLE 152 MITSUBISHI HEAVY INDUSTRIES: COMPANY OVERVIEW
  • TABLE 153 MITSUBISHI HEAVY INDUSTRIES: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED
  • TABLE 154 MITSUBISHI HEAVY INDUSTRIES: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS
  • TABLE 155 CRCC: COMPANY OVERVIEW
  • TABLE 156 CRCC: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED
  • TABLE 157 CRCC: PRODUCT LAUNCHES/DEVELOPMENTS
  • TABLE 158 CRCC: DEALS
  • TABLE 159 CRCC: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS
  • TABLE 160 ABB: COMPANY OVERVIEW
  • TABLE 161 ABB: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED
  • TABLE 162 ABB: DEALS
  • TABLE 163 ABB: EXPANSIONS
  • TABLE 164 CAF: COMPANY OVERVIEW
  • TABLE 165 CAF: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED
  • TABLE 166 CAF: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS
  • TABLE 167 NOKIA: COMPANY OVERVIEW
  • TABLE 168 NOKIA: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED
  • TABLE 169 NOKIA: PRODUCT LAUNCHES/DEVELOPMENTS
  • TABLE 170 NOKIA: DEALS
  • TABLE 171 BEIJING TRAFFIC CONTROL TECHNOLOGY: COMPANY OVERVIEW
  • TABLE 172 TECH MAHINDRA LTD.: COMPANY OVERVIEW
  • TABLE 173 HOLLYSYS: COMPANY OVERVIEW
  • TABLE 174 DEUTSCHE BAHN: COMPANY OVERVIEW
  • TABLE 175 DEUTA: COMPANY OVERVIEW
  • TABLE 176 BELDEN: COMPANY OVERVIEW
  • TABLE 177 AMERICAN EQUIPMENT COMPANY: COMPANY OVERVIEW
  • TABLE 178 INGETEAM: COMPANY OVERVIEW
  • TABLE 179 TRANSMASHHOLDING: COMPANY OVERVIEW
  • TABLE 180 TVEMA: COMPANY OVERVIEW
  • TABLE 181 KAWASAKI HEAVY INDUSTRIES: COMPANY OVERVIEW
  • TABLE 182 CALAMP: COMPANY OVERVIEW
LIST OF FIGURES
 
  • FIGURE 1 RESEARCH DESIGN
  • FIGURE 2 RESEARCH PROCESS FLOW
  • FIGURE 3 BREAKDOWN OF PRIMARY INTERVIEWS
  • FIGURE 4 BOTTOM-UP APPROACH
  • FIGURE 5 TOP-DOWN APPROACH
  • FIGURE 6 DEMAND-SIDE APPROACH
  • FIGURE 7 DATA TRIANGULATION
  • FIGURE 8 AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET OUTLOOK
  • FIGURE 9 MARKET, BY TECHNOLOGY, 2024 VS. 2030 (USD MILLION)
  • FIGURE 10 MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2024 VS. 2030 (UNITS)
  • FIGURE 11 MARKET, BY REGION, 2024 VS. 2030 (UNITS)
  • FIGURE 12 ADVANCED TECHNOLOGIES AND INCREASING GOVERNMENT INVESTMENTS TO DRIVE MARKET
  • FIGURE 13 ASIA PACIFIC TO ACCOUNT FOR LARGEST MARKET SHARE IN 2024
  • FIGURE 14 CBTC TO GAIN LARGEST MARKET SHARE DURING FORECAST PERIOD
  • FIGURE 15 PASSENGER TRAIN TO BE LARGER APPLICATION SEGMENT DURING FORECAST PERIOD
  • FIGURE 16 METRO/MONORAIL SEGMENT TO LEAD MARKET DURING FORECAST PERIOD
  • FIGURE 17 GOA2 TO BE LARGEST SEGMENT DURING FORECAST PERIOD
  • FIGURE 18 DRIVERS, RESTRAINTS, OPPORTUNITIES, CHALLENGES
  • FIGURE 19 COMPARISON OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION AND CO2 EMISSIONS PER PASSENGER KILOMETER
  • FIGURE 20 GLOBAL HIGH-SPEED NETWORK, 2022
  • FIGURE 21 RAIL PASSENGER TRANSPORT FOR MAIN UNDERTAKING EU, 2015–2022
  • FIGURE 22 AUTONOMOUS RAIL INFRASTRUCTURE
  • FIGURE 23 ECOSYSTEM ANALYSIS
  • FIGURE 24 VALUE CHAIN ANALYSIS
  • FIGURE 25 INVESTMENT SCENARIO, 2020–2023
  • FIGURE 26 PUBLICATION TRENDS, 2019–2023
  • FIGURE 27 TOP PATENT APPLICANTS FOR DRIVERLESS TRAINS, 2019–2023
  • FIGURE 28 NEW REVENUE SOURCES IN MARKET
  • FIGURE 29 KEY BUYING CRITERIA, BY APPLICATION
  • FIGURE 30 INFLUENCE OF STAKEHOLDERS ON BUYING PROCESS, BY APPLICATION
  • FIGURE 31 MARKET, BY GOA, 2024 VS. 2030 (UNITS)
  • FIGURE 32 MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2024 VS. 2030 (UNITS)
  • FIGURE 33 CBTC SEGMENT TO LEAD MARKET FROM 2024 TO 2030 (USD MILLION)
  • FIGURE 34 ASIA PACIFIC TO BE FASTEST-GROWING MARKET DURING FORECAST PERIOD (UNITS)
  • FIGURE 35 ASIA PACIFIC: MARKET SNAPSHOT
  • FIGURE 36 EUROPE: MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE (UNITS)
  • FIGURE 37 NORTH AMERICA: MARKET SNAPSHOT
  • FIGURE 38 MIDDLE EAST & AFRICA: MARKET SNAPSHOT
  • FIGURE 39 TOP PUBLIC/LISTED PLAYERS DOMINATING MARKET, 2020 VS. 2022
  • FIGURE 40 MARKET SHARE OF KEY PLAYERS, 2022
  • FIGURE 41 COMPANY VALUATION, 2023 (USD BILLION)
  • FIGURE 42 COMPANY FINANCIAL METRICS, 2023
  • FIGURE 43 COMPANY EVALUATION MATRIX, 2023
  • FIGURE 44 STARTUP/SME EVALUATION MATRIX, 2023
  • FIGURE 45 ALSTOM SA: COMPANY SNAPSHOT
  • FIGURE 46 ALSTOM SA: NEW BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES
  • FIGURE 47 SIEMENS: COMPANY SNAPSHOT
  • FIGURE 48 HITACHI LTD.: COMPANY SNAPSHOT
  • FIGURE 49 WABTEC CORPORATION: COMPANY SNAPSHOT
  • FIGURE 50 WABTEC CORPORATION: FUTURE OUTLOOK
  • FIGURE 51 THALES GROUP: OVERVIEW
  • FIGURE 52 THALES GROUP: COMPANY SNAPSHOT
  • FIGURE 53 MITSUBISHI HEAVY INDUSTRIES: COMPANY SNAPSHOT
  • FIGURE 54 CRCC: COMPANY SNAPSHOT
  • FIGURE 55 ABB: COMPANY SNAPSHOT
  • FIGURE 56 CAF: COMPANY SNAPSHOT
  • FIGURE 57 NOKIA: COMPANY SNAPSHOT

 

The study involved four major activities in estimating the current market size of the autonomous train market. Exhaustive secondary research was done to collect information on the market, the peer market, and the parent market. The next step was to validate these findings, assumptions, and sizing with the industry experts across value chains through primary research. The top-down and bottom-up approaches were employed to estimate the complete market size. Thereafter, market breakdown and data triangulation processes were used to estimate the market size of segments and subsegments.

Secondary Research

In the secondary research process, various secondary sources such as company annual reports/presentations, press releases, industry association publications such as The European Rail Industry (UNIFE), International Union of Railways, Federal Railroad Administration, Association of American Railroads, International Association of Railway Operation Research etc., railway magazine articles, directories, technical handbooks, world economic outlook, trade websites, technical articles, and databases (Marklines, Factiva etc.) have been used to identify and collect for an extensive commercial study of the global autonomous train market.

Primary Research

Extensive primary research has been conducted after acquiring an understanding of this market scenario through secondary research. Several primary interviews have been conducted with market experts from the demand- and supply-side OEMs (in terms of component supply, country-level government associations, and trade associations) and component manufacturers across major regions, namely, Asia Pacific, Europe, North America, Middle East & Africa and Rest of the World. Approximately 30% and 70% of primary interviews have been conducted from the demand and supply side, respectively. Primary data has been collected through questionnaires, emails, LinkedIn, and telephonic interviews. In the canvassing of primaries, we have strived to cover various departments within organizations, such as sales, operations, and administration, to provide a holistic viewpoint in our report.

After interacting with industry experts, we conducted brief sessions with highly experienced independent consultants to reinforce the findings from our primaries. This, along with the in-house subject matter experts’ opinions, has led us to the findings as described in the remainder of this report. Following is the breakdown of primary respondents.

Autonomous Train Market Size, and Share

To know about the assumptions considered for the study, download the pdf brochure

Market Size Estimation

Global autonomous train market by train type & component has been derived using bottom-up approach. To derive global market size, summation of each train type, component type is studied at a regional level. Production numbers are identified and validated through secondary research and multiple primary respondents.

Autonomous Train Market Bottom Up Approach

To know about the assumptions considered for the study, Request for Free Sample Report

Autonomous Train Market Top Down Approach

The top-down approach was used to estimate and validate the total market size. This method was also used extensively to estimate the size of various subsegments in the market. The research methodology used to estimate the market size includes the following:

  • Key players in the autonomous train market were identified through secondary research, and their market shares were determined through primary and secondary research
  • The research methodology included the study of the annual and quarterly financial reports & regulatory filings of major market players, as well as interviews with industry experts for detailed market insights
  • All major penetration rates, percentage shares, splits, and breakdowns for the autonomous train market were determined using secondary sources and verified through primary sources
  • All key macro indicators affecting the revenue growth of the market segments and subsegments were accounted for, viewed in extensive detail, verified through primary research, and analyzed to get the validated and verified quantitative & qualitative data
  • The gathered market data was consolidated and added with detailed inputs, analyzed, and presented in this report

Data Triangulation

After arriving at the overall market size—using the market size estimation processes as explained above—the market was split into several segments and subsegments. To complete the overall market engineering process and arrive at the exact statistics of each market segment and subsegment, data triangulation and market breakdown procedures were employed, wherever applicable. The data was triangulated by studying various factors and trends from both the demand and supply sides.

Market Definition

The autonomous train market is the market for trains that have the ability to operate without human intervention. This includes trains that can automatically start, stop, and navigate tracks, as well as detect and avoid obstacles. The market is a relatively new market, but it is expected to grow rapidly in the coming years, driven by factors such as increasing urbanization, rising labor costs, and the need for improved safety and efficiency in the rail industry.

List of Key Stakeholders

  • Government Authorities related to Railway Infrastructure Services
  • Independent Software Vendors
  • Independent Technology/Solution Providers
  • National Railway Governing Authorities/Regulators/Bodies
  • Rail Infrastructure Hardware and Device Suppliers
  • Rail Manufacturers/OEMs
  • Rail Transportation Technology Solution Providers
  • Railway Associations
  • Railway Management Companies (private/public)
  • Railway Operations Management Service Providers
  • Railway Operations Management Solution Vendors
  • Railway Operators Signaling Vendors
  • Transportation Research Authorities, NGOs, Governments, Investment Banks, Venture Capitalists, and Private Equity Firms
  • Legal and Regulatory Authorities
  • Manufacturers of Rail Components
  • Rail Leasing Authorities
  • Rail Service Providers
  • Railway Contractors
  • Railway Industry Associations
  • Railways Organizations/Associations
  • Raw Material Suppliers for Autonomous Trains
  • Traders, Distributors, and Suppliers of Autonomous Trains

Report Objectives

  • To analyze and forecast the size of the autonomous train market, in terms of volume (units/thousand units), from 2024 to 2030
  • To analyze and forecast the size of the market, in terms of volume (units), based on the grade of automation (grade of automation 1, grade of automation 2, grade of automation 3, and grade of automation 4) from 2024 to 2030
  • To analyze and forecast the size of the market, in terms of value
    (USD billion/million), based on technology (Automatic Train Control (ATC), Communication-based Train Control (CBTC), Positive Train Control (PTC), and European Railway Traffic Management System (ERTMS) from 2024 to 2030
  • To analyze and forecast the size of the market, in terms of volume (units) and USD billion, based on train type (metro/monorail, light rail, and high-speed rail/bullet train) from 2024 to 2030
  • To analyze and forecast the size of the market, in terms of volume (units), based on component (tachometer, doppler, accelerometer, sensor, camera, antenna, odometer, radar, lidar) from 2024 to 2030
  • To analyze and forecast the size of the market, in terms of volume (units), based on application (passenger and freight) from 2024 to 2030
  • To qualitatively analyze market, in terms of GoA 4 systems for different regions.
  • To identify the market dynamics, including drivers, restraints, opportunities, and challenges, and analyze their impact on the market.
  • To define, describe, and project the size of the market, in terms of volume (units), based on region (Asia Pacific, Europe, North America, the Middle East & Africa, and Rest of the World (RoW)) from 2024 to 2030
  • To analyze the competitive leadership map for the key players operating in the market based on their business strategies from 2019-2023.
  • To track and analyze competitive developments such as, new product developments, deals and other industry-related activities carried out by the key players to strengthen their position in the autonomous train market.
  • To analyze the opportunities offered by various segments of the market to its stakeholders
  • To analyze and forecast the trends and orientation for autonomous train in the global rail industry
  • To track and analyze competitive developments such as new product development, deals, and other industry activities carried out by key industry participants
  • To analyze opportunities for stakeholders and the competitive landscape for market leaders
  • To strategically profile key players and comprehensively analyze their respective market share and core competencies
  • To provide detailed information regarding the major factors influencing the market growth (drivers, challenges, restraints, and opportunities)
  • To strategically analyze the market with respect to individual growth trends, prospects, and contributions to the total market

Available Customizations

MarketsandMarkets offers the following customizations for this market:

  • Autonomous train market, additional components
  • Profiling of additional market players (Up to 3)

Previous Versions of this Report

Autonomous Train Market by Level of Automation (GOA1, GOA2, GOA3, GOA4), Technology (CBTC, ERTMS, ATC, PTC), Application, Component, Train Type (Metro, Light Rail, Bullet Train/HSR), Track Length, GOA 4 Systems and Region - Global Forecast to 2030

Report Code AT 6300
Published in Aug, 2022, By MarketsandMarkets™

Autonomous Train Market by Level of Automation (GOA1, GOA2, GOA3, GOA4), Technology (CBTC, ERTMS, ATC, PTC), Application, Component, Train Type (Metro, Light Rail, Bullet Train/HSR), Track Length, GOA 4 Systems and Region - Global Forecast to 2030

Report Code AT 6300
Published in May, 2018, By MarketsandMarkets™
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