Anti-aircraft Warfare Market by Capability (Support, Protection and Attack), System (Weapon System, Radar System, Electronic Warfare System, Command and Control System), Platform (Land , Naval and Airborne), Range & Region - Forecast to 2028
[250 Pages Report] The anti-aircraft warfare market is estimated to be USD 20.9 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 28.6 billion by 2028, at a CAGR of 6.5% from 2023 to 2028. The market is driven by factors such as a rising focus on the development of hypersonic missile systems and huge demand for air defense systems.
Anti-aircraft Warfare Market Forecast to 2028
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Anti-aircraft warfare market Dynamics:
Drivers: Increasing development of indigenous air defense systems to drive market
As air-based threats have become more sophisticated and dangerous, there has been an increased demand for air defense systems that can effectively counter them. This has led to increased investment in research and development of new air defense technologies. The development of new technologies, such as radar, missiles, and computers, has led to the development of more capable and effective air defense systems. These new technologies have made it possible to detect and track air targets at longer ranges, and to engage them with more accurate and powerful weapons.
Several countries are investing heavily in their indigenous missile defense systems. For instance, in 2021, Russia developed an S-500 system, which is expected to have a detection range of more than 600 kilometers. India developed its own indigenous air defense system. Also in according to a Global Times report on November 2022, China unveiled several of its latest air defense missile and laser systems at the Airshow China 2022 held in Zhuhai. The defence systems includes HQ-9B surface-to-air missile weapon system, the HQ-16FE mid- to long-range air defense missile weapon system and HQ-II universal terminal defense system.
Restraints: Stringent regulations for arms transfer
Government-run defense contractors are required to adhere to various federal and legislative regulations, including import-export control measures and exchange controls. In numerous nations, munition manufacturers are barred from exporting their wares, limiting their ability to serve foreign clients and hindering their access to global markets.
For Instance, the US government approval is needed to sell arms to another country. The law defining that is the Arms Export Control Act (AECA), which was passed in 1976. The AECA gives the US President the authority to control the export of defense articles and defense services, which are defined as items that can be used for military purposes.s
The UK's equivalent of the AECA is the Export Control Act (ECA). The ECA gives the UK government the authority to control the export of arms and other sensitive goods and technologies. And the EU has a common set of export control regulations called the Common Position on Arms. The Common Position prohibits the export of arms to countries that are involved in armed conflict or that have a poor human rights record.
Opportunities: Development of directed energy-based air defence system
Directed Energy Weapons (DEW) are weapons that use electromagnetic energy, such as lasers or microwaves, to damage or destroy targets. They have the potential to be very effective weapons, as they can be used to target a wide range of targets, including aircraft, missiles, and UAVs. Some of the key areas of research and development in DEWs include:
- Power: DEWs require a lot of power to operate, so one of the main challenges is developing power sources that are compact and lightweight enough to be used on a weapon system.
- Beam quality: The beam quality of a DEW is important for its accuracy and range. Researchers are working to develop ways to improve the beam quality of DEWs.
- Targeting: DEWs need to be able to accurately target their targets. Researchers are developing ways to improve the targeting capabilities of DEWs.
The development of directed energy weapons (DEWs) has been ongoing for many years, but it has accelerated in recent years due to advances in technology. For instance according to a US Government Accountability Office’s (GAO) published report on April 2023, the office stated “US Department of Defense (DOD) spends USD 1.00 billion annually on developing directed energy—concentrated electromagnetic energy—weapons. For example, DOD has developed high-energy lasers that have successfully shot down drones in demonstrations.”
Challenges: Technical Challenges Of Counter-Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (C-UAV)
Counter-UAV systems face several technical challenges due to the evolving nature of UAV’s and their capabilities. These challenges include:
- Detection and Tracking: Small and low-flying UAV’s can be challenging to detect using traditional radar systems. Developing effective detection methods for these UAV’s is crucial.
- UAV Swarms: Handling multiple UAV’s operating in coordinated swarms is a complex technical challenge. Traditional counter- UAV systems may struggle to address this threat effectively.
- Integration: Integrating counter-UAV systems with existing naval warships, such as destroyers, corvettes etc. can be complex.
- Distinguishing between friendly or foe UAV’s: There is no easy way to distinguish between friendly and hostile drones, especially if they are both flying in the same area. This can make it difficult to know which drones to target.
- Cost and Scalability: Developing and deploying effective counter-UAV systems can be costly. Ensuring affordability and scalability for widespread use is a challenge.
Addressing these technical challenges requires ongoing research and development efforts, collaboration between government agencies and industry, and a deep understanding of UAV technology and its vulnerabilities.
Anti-Aircraft Warfare Market Ecosystem
Prominent companies in this market include well-established, financially stable manufacturers of anti-aircraft defense systems with a global presence. They have been operating in the market for several years and have a diversified product portfolio, state-of-the-art technologies, and robust global sales and marketing networks. Prominent companies include Lockheed Martin Corporation (US), Raytheon Technologies Corporation (US), BAE Systems (UK), and Thales Group (France).
Private and small enterprises have a comparatively limited product portfolio, financial strength, and specialization in specific systems and subsystems. Some companies could enter strategic partnerships and joint ventures with prominent companies to gain a strong foothold in the anti-aircraft warfare market. Currently, private and small enterprises are looking at funding and investments to develop technologically advanced rockets & missiles and enter them into service.
The weapon system segment is projected to register the highest CAGR of 7.1% during the forecast period.
Based on system, the anti-aircraft warfare market has been segmented into weapon system, radar system, electronic warfare system, command and control system and others. The weapon segment will secure leading market position in 2023. It is expected to have a market size of USD 9.19 billion in 2023 and grow at a CAGR of 7.1% to reach USD 12.93 billion in 2028. This is due to the increasing demand for advanced and sophisticated weapons from militaries around the world.
The naval segment is projected to have largest market share for the Anti-aircraft warfare market in 2023.
The anti-aircraft warfare (AAW) market is divided into three segments based on platform: airborne, land, and naval. The naval segment is expected to hold the largest share of the market in 2023, accounting for 55% of the total. This is due to the increasing demand for air defense systems on naval platforms, driven by the development and procurement of new AAW systems for naval ships and unmanned surface vehicles.
The medium range segment is estimated to account for the largest share of the Anti-aircraft warfare market in 2023.
The anti-aircraft warfare (AAW) market is divided into three segments based on range: short range (less than 20 kilometers), medium range (20 to 100 kilometers), and long range (more than 100 kilometers). The medium range segment is expected to hold the largest share of the market in 2023, accounting for 53.3% of the total. This is due to the increasing procurement of medium range anti-aircraft weapon systems and their spare parts, which serve as a vital layer of defense for the protection of strategic infrastructure.
The North American market is projected to contribute the largest share from 2023 to 2028
North America is projected to be the largest regional share of anti-aircraft warfare market during the forecast period. Major companies such as Northrop Grumman Corporation, Lockheed Martin, Raytheon Technologies, and General Dynamics Corporation are based in the US. These players continuously invest in the R&D of new and advanced technology used in air and missile defense system.
Anti-aircraft Warfare Market by Region
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Key Market Players
The Anti-aircraft warfare companies is dominated by a few globally established players such as Lockheed Martin Corporation (US), Raytheon Technologies Corporation (US), BAE Systems (UK), and Thales Group (France).
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Report Metric |
Details |
Market size available for years |
2019–2028 |
Base year considered |
2022 |
Forecast period |
2023-2028 |
Forecast units |
Value (USD Million) |
Segments covered |
Capability, System, Platform, Range, and Region |
Geographies covered |
North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Middle East and Rest of the World |
Companies covered |
Lockheed Martin Corporation (US), Raytheon Technologies Corporation (US), Northrop Grumman Corporation (US), BAE Systems (UK), Thales Group (France) and many more. |
Anti-aircraft Warfare Market Highlights
This research report categorizes anti-aircraft warfare market based on capability, system, platform, range, and region.
Segment |
Subsegment |
By Capability: |
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By System |
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By Platform: |
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By Range: |
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By Region: |
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Recent Developments
- In April 2023, Lockheed Martin, Grand Prairie, Texas, was awarded a USD 2.45 billion modification to contract for Phased Array Tracking Radar Intercept on Target (PATRIOT) Advanced Capability-3 missile production.
- In June 2023, Raytheon integrated air defense systems with radars, command and control systems and interceptors to form a multi-layered shield for air base defense.
- In July 2023, The Swedish Defence Materiel Administration and Thales Group signed an agreement for the delivery and installation of SMART-L Multi Mission Fixed (MM/F) long-range radars.
- In August 2022, The Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) awarded BAE Systems plc a USD 14.0 million contract to develop technology aimed at enabling the deployment of advanced signal processing (sensing, imaging, and communications) and computation on a new smaller category of military platforms.
Key Questions Addressed by the Report:
What is the current size of Anti-aircraft warfare market?
Response: The Anti-aircraft warfare market is projected to grow from an estimated USD 20.9 billion in 2023 to USD 28.6 billion by 2028, at a CAGR of 6.5% from 2023 to 2028.
What are the key sustainability strategies adopted by leading players operating in the anti-aircraft warfare market?
Response: The organic and inorganic strategies adopted by key players to strengthen their position in the Anti-aircraft warfare market are high R&D investment, collaborations & expansions, contracts, partnerships, and agreements, to expand their presence in the market further.
What factors support Anti-aircraft warfare market growth during the forecast period?
Response: Increasing investments in the procurement and development of anti-aircraft defense systems to strengthen military capabilities is the key factor supporting Anti-aircraft warfare market growth during the forecast period.
Which region is expected to hold the highest market share in the Anti-aircraft warfare market?
Response: North America accounted for the largest share of 46 % of the market in 2023.
Who are the leading players in Anti-aircraft warfare market?
Response: Lockheed Martin Corporation (US), Raytheon Technologies Corporation (US), BAE Systems (UK), and Thales Group (France) are the leading players in the Anti-aircraft warfare market.
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The research study conducted on anti-aircraft warfare market involved extensive use of secondary sources, including directories, databases of articles, journals on anti-aircraft defense systems in military, company newsletters, and information portals such as Hoover’s, Bloomberg, and Factiva to identify and collect information useful for this extensive, technical, market-oriented study of the anti-aircraft warfare market. Primary sources include industry experts from the core and related industries, alliances, organizations, Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs), vendors, suppliers, and technology developers. These sources relate to all segments of the value chain of anti-aircraft warfare market.
In-depth interviews were conducted with various primary respondents, including key industry participants, subject-matter experts, C-level executives of key market players, and industry consultants, among others, to obtain and verify critical qualitative and quantitative information and assess future market prospects.
Secondary Research
In the secondary research process, various sources were referred to for identifying and collecting information for this study. The secondary sources included government sources, such as World Defense expenditure database; department of defense websites, corporate filings such as annual reports, press releases, and investor presentations of companies; white papers, journals, and certified publications; and articles from recognized authors, directories, and databases.
Primary Research
In the primary research process, various primary sources from both supply and demand sides were interviewed to obtain qualitative and quantitative information on the market. The primary sources from the supply side included various industry experts, such as Chief X Officers (CXOs), Vice Presidents (VPs), Directors, from business development, marketing, product development/innovation teams, and related key executives from anti-aircraft system integrators; component providers; distributors; and key opinion leaders.
Primary interviews were conducted to gather insights such as market statistics, data of revenue collected from the products and services, market breakdowns, market size estimations, market forecasting, and data triangulation. Primary research also helped in understanding the various trends related to technology, threat type, range, domain, and region. Stakeholders from the demand side, such as CIOs, CTOs, and CSOs, and installation teams of the customer/end users who are using anti-aircraft systems were interviewed to understand the buyer’s perspective on the suppliers, products, component providers, and their current usage of anti-aircraft systems and future outlook of their business which will affect the overall market.
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Market Size Estimation
- Both top-down and bottom-up approaches were used to estimate and validate the total size of the Anti-aircraft warfare market. These methods were also used extensively to estimate the size of various segments and sub-segments of the market. The research methodology used to estimate the market size included the following:
- Key players in the industry and markets were identified through secondary research, and their market share was determined through primary and secondary research. This included an extensive study of annual and financial reports of top market players and interviews with CEOs, directors, and marketing executives.
- All percentage shares, splits, and breakdowns were determined using secondary sources and verified through primary sources.
- All possible parameters that affect the markets covered in this research study were accounted for, viewed in extensive detail, verified through primary research, and analyzed to obtain the final quantitative and qualitative data.
- This data was consolidated, enhanced with detailed inputs, analyzed by MarketsandMarkets, and presented in this report.
- The research methodology used to estimate the market size also included the following details:
- All possible parameters that affect the markets covered in this research study were accounted for, viewed in extensive detail, verified through primary research, and analyzed to obtain the final quantitative and qualitative data. This data was consolidated, enhanced with detailed inputs, analyzed by MarketsandMarkets, and presented in this report.
- Market growth trends were defined based on approaches such as the product revenues of the significant 10-15 companies from 2019 to 2022, military expenditure, exports/imports of anti-aircraft warfare system parts and equipment by different countries from 2019 to 2022, historic procurement patterns between 2019 to 2022, among others.
Anti-Aircraft Warfare Market Size: Bottom-Up Approach
Anti-Aircraft Warfare Market Size: Top-Down Approach
Data Triangulation
After arriving at the overall market size from the market size estimation process explained above, the total market was split into several segments and subsegments. To complete the overall market engineering process and arrive at the exact statistics for market segments and subsegments, the data triangulation and market breakdown procedures explained below were implemented, wherever applicable. The data was triangulated by studying various factors and trends from the demand and supply sides. Along with this, the market size was validated using both the top-down and bottom-up approaches.
The following figure indicates the market breakdown structure and the data triangulation procedure implemented in the market engineering process used in this report.
The figure above demonstrates the core data triangulation procedure used in this report for each market, submarket, and subsegment. Percentage splits of various market segments, i.e., capability, segment, platform, range, and region, were used to determine the size of the anti–aircraft warfare market.
Market Definition
Anti-aircraft warfare, alternatively known as AAW or anti-aircraft, refers to the use of systems that are designed to defend against and destroy or deter enemy aircraft. This can include military aircraft, helicopters and UAVs. The primary goal of anti-aircraft warfare is to protect military forces and assets on the ground, sea-surface, and in the air by preventing or minimizing the threat posed by hostile aircraft. This form of warfare encompasses a wide range of technologies and methods, from anti-aircraft guns and surface-to-air missiles to electronic warfare and anti-aircraft artillery fire control systems.
The anti-aircraft warfare market is the global market for the development, production, and sale of anti-aircraft systems. The market is segmented by capability, system, platform, range, and region. The capability segment is further segmented into support, protection, and attack. The system segment is further segmented into weapon systems, radar system, electronic warfare system, command and control systems, and others. The platform segment is further segmented into land, naval and airborne. The range segment is further segmented into short range (<20 KM), medium range (20 – 100 km), and long range (>100 km). The region segment is further segmented into North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Middle East and Rest of the World.
Key Stakeholders
- Anti–Aircraft Warfare Systems and Component Providers
- Technology Support Providers
- Government Agencies
- Military Organizations
- Investors and Financial Community Professionals
- Research Organizations
Report Objectives
- To define, describe, and forecast the size of the anti-aircraft warfare market based on capability, system, platform, range, and region from 2023 to 2028
- To forecast the size of various segments of the market with respect to major regions, namely, North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Middle East and the Rest of the World (RoW), which comprises Africa and Latin America
- To identify and analyze key drivers, restraints, opportunities, and challenges influencing the growth of the anti-aircraft warfare market across the globe
- To strategically analyze micromarkets1 with respect to individual growth trends, prospects, and their contribution to the anti–aircraft warfare market
- To analyze opportunities for stakeholders in the market by identifying key market trends
- To analyze competitive developments such as contracts, acquisitions and expansions, agreements, joint ventures and partnerships, new product launches, and Research & Development (R&D) activities in the anti–aircraft warfare market
- To provide a detailed competitive landscape of the -market, in addition to an analysis of business and corporate strategies adopted by leading market players
- To strategically profile key market players and comprehensively analyze their core competencies2
1 Micromarkets are defined as further segments and subsegments of the anti-aircraft warfare market included in the report.
2 Core competencies of the companies have been captured in terms of the key developments and strategies adopted by players to sustain their position in the market.
Available customizations
Along with the market data, MarketsandMarkets offers customizations per the specific needs of companies. The following customization options are available for the report:
Product Analysis
- Product matrix, which gives a detailed comparison of the product portfolio of each company
Regional Analysis
- Further breakdown of the market segments at country-level
Company Information
- Detailed analysis and profiling of additional market players (up to 5)
Growth opportunities and latent adjacency in Anti-aircraft Warfare Market