Semi-autonomous bus technology requires human intervention to control the vehicle while simultaneously using some of the advanced technologies such as Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC), Lane Assist (LA), Blind Spot Detection (BSD), Intelligent Park Assist (IPA), Traffic Jam Assist (TJA), and others to increase passenger safety and reduce the efforts required for driving buses. Whereas fully-autonomous buses run an artificial intelligence program that controls the entire vehicle without any human intervention while driving.
Key Drivers:
Key Restraints:
Top Players
Top Start-ups
Semi-Autonomous & Autonomous Bus Market and Key Application
[193 Pages Report] The global semi-autonomous bus market size is projected to reach 71,682 units by 2025, from an estimated 23,613 units in 2020, at a CAGR of 24.9%. The global autonomous bus market size is projected to reach USD 791 million by 2030, from USD 2,773 million in 2024, at a CAGR of 23.2%. Factors such as a rise in road accidents, shortage of drivers, government regulations regarding safety features, the need for efficient bus operations, and the increasing need for efficient yet feature-rich modern buses to drive the semi-autonomous and autonomous buses.
The ultrasonic segment is projected to have the largest market share in the semi-autonomous bus market by volume. Ultrasonic has a short-range and small Field of View (FoV). Hence, many ultrasonic sensors are used in semi-autonomous and autonomous buses. Ultrasonic sensors are typically used for short-range object detection, which is applicable for parking ADAS features such as intelligent park assist. The cost of the ultrasonic sensors is less than other sensors. Currently, the cost of LIDARs is high, and generally, they are not installed in level 1 and level 2 semi-autonomous buses.
The Asia Pacific region comprises countries, such as China, Japan, and South Korea, which have a technologically advanced automotive industry. The Chinese bus company, King Long, developed a self-driving shuttle with the autonomous platform by Baidu and started first-ever volume production of these shuttles in June 2018. As China, Japan, and South Korea are capable of adopting such technology and produce on mass-level, the region will have a significant market share in the autonomous bus market. Apart from these testing and trials, the region is heavily dependent on buses as the public transport medium. Thus, recent developments in autonomous technologies and quick adoption of the technology would help the Asia Pacific market to grow rapidly.
The North American region is projected to account for the largest share of the semi-autonomous bus market during the forecast period. It is home to OEMs, such as New Flyer, Gillig, Novabus, Bluebird, Thomas Built Buses, and Proterra, that are offering advanced buses in the region. The region is dominated by modern buses having ADAS features as standard or optional. OEMs in the country have been offering many semi-autonomous driving features such as AEB, BSD, and ACC. Also, the region is home to many technology companies that are exploring the autonomous driving technology with testing and trials across the region. For instance, Boston based company, Optimus Ride, is going to test its autonomous shuttle in New York. Based on the trial results, an autonomous shuttle service will be started in New York in mid-2020.
The global semi-autonomous bus market is dominated by major players such as Continental (Germany) Bosch (Germany), Aptiv (UK), AB Volvo (Sweden), and Denso (Japan). All the companies have strong distribution networks at a global level. In addition, these companies offer an extensive product range in this market. These companies have adopted strategies such as new product developments, collaborations, and contracts & agreements to sustain their market position. On the other hand, EasyMile (France), Navya (France), 2getthere (Netherlands), and Local Motors (US) are some of the companies that are focusing on developing autonomous buses/shuttles.
Report Metric |
Details |
Market size available for years |
20182030 |
Base year considered |
2018 |
Forecast period |
2020-2030 |
Forecast units |
Volume (Units) and Value (USD Billion) |
Segments covered |
Propulsion Type, Application, Sensor, ADAS Feature, Level of Automation, and Region |
Geographies covered |
Asia Pacific, Europe, North America, and RoW |
Companies Covered |
Continental (Germany) Bosch (Germany), Aptiv (UK), AB Volvo (Sweden), and Denso (Japan). |
This research report categorizes the semi-autonomous and autonomous bus market based on propulsion type, application, sensor, ADAS feature, level of automation, and region.
To speak to our analyst for a discussion on the above findings, click Speak to Analyst
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1 INTRODUCTION (Page No. - 19)
1.1 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
1.2 MARKET DEFINITION
1.2.1 INCLUSIONS & EXCLUSIONS
1.3 MARKET SCOPE
1.3.1 YEARS CONSIDERED FOR THE STUDY
1.4 PACKAGE SIZE
1.5 LIMITATIONS
1.6 STAKEHOLDERS
2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY (Page No. - 23)
2.1 RESEARCH DATA
2.2 SECONDARY DATA
2.2.1 KEY SECONDARY SOURCES FOR THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS & AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
2.2.2 KEY DATA FROM SECONDARY SOURCES
2.3 PRIMARY DATA
2.3.1 SAMPLING TECHNIQUES & DATA COLLECTION METHODS
2.3.2 PRIMARY PARTICIPANTS
2.4 MARKET SIZE ESTIMATION
2.4.1 BOTTOM-UP APPROACH: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
2.4.2 TOP-DOWN APPROACH: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
2.4.3 BOTTOM-UP APPROACH: AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
2.4.4 TOP-DOWN APPROACH: AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
2.5 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET: RESEARCH DESIGN & METHODOLOGY
2.6 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY ILLUSTRATION OF COMPANY-BASED REVENUE ESTIMATION
2.7 MARKET BREAKDOWN AND DATA TRIANGULATION
2.8 ASSUMPTIONS & ASSOCIATED RISKS
3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY (Page No. - 35)
4 PREMIUM INSIGHTS (Page No. - 41)
4.1 ATTRACTIVE OPPORTUNITIES IN THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
4.2 ATTRACTIVE OPPORTUNITIES IN THE AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
4.3 ATTRACTIVE OPPORTUNITIES IN THE AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
4.4 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET GROWTH RATE, BY REGION
4.5 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY PROPULSION TYPE
4.6 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY PROPULSION TYPE-
4.7 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY APPLICATION
4.8 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY ADAS FEATURE
4.9 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION
4.10 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION
4.11 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY SENSOR TYPE, BY VOLUME
4.12 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY SENSOR TYPE, BY VALUE
4.13 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY SENSOR TYPE, BY VOLUME
4.14 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY SENSOR TYPE, BY VALUE
5 MARKET OVERVIEW (Page No. - 49)
5.1 INTRODUCTION
5.2 MARKET DYNAMICS
5.2.1 DRIVERS
5.2.1.1 Increasing emphasis on better road safety and traffic control
5.2.1.2 Economic effect of semi-autonomous and autonomous buses on the transport industry
5.2.2 RESTRAINTS
5.2.2.1 Cybersecurity and data security concerns
5.2.2.2 High cost of development
5.2.2.3 Lack of information technology and communication infrastructure in developing nations
5.2.3 OPPORTUNITIES
5.2.3.1 Increasing demand for 5G technology for vehicle connectivity
5.2.3.2 Demand for fuel-efficient and emission-free buses
5.2.4 CHALLENGES
5.2.4.1 Tapping the untapped market
5.2.4.2 Legal and regulatory framework issues
5.3 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, SCENARIOS (20242030)
5.3.1 MOST LIKELY SCENARIO
5.3.2 OPTIMISTIC SCENARIO
5.3.3 PESSIMISTIC SCENARIO
6 INDUSTRY TRENDS (Page No. - 56)
6.1 INTRODUCTION
6.2 AUTONOMOUS SHUTTLE
6.3 PORTERS FIVE FORCES MODEL ANALYSIS
6.4 VALUE CHAIN ANALYSIS
6.4.1 PLANNING AND REVISING FUNDS
6.4.2 AUTOMOTIVE COMPONENT SUPPLIERS
6.4.3 AV SOFTWARE AND SENSOR SUPPLIERS
6.4.4 OEMS
6.5 ECOSYSTEM OF AUTONOMOUS DRIVING
6.6 PATENT ANALYSIS
6.6.1 INTRODUCTION
6.6.2 PATENTS FILED
6.6.2.1 COUNTRY-WISE PATENT ANALYSIS
6.6.2.2 OEM-WISE PATENT ANALYSIS & DETAILS
6.6.3 CASE STUDY ANALYSIS
6.6.3.1 Case study on European automated bus/shuttle pilot projects
6.6.4 LIST OF ONGOING AUTONOMOUS SHUTTLE PILOT PROJECTS IN THE EUROPEAN REGION
6.6.4.1 Case study on Mcity Driverless Shuttle project
7 GOVERNMENT REGULATIONS & GUIDELINES FOR TESTING (Page No. - 64)
7.1 REGIONAL AND COUNTRY-LEVEL REGULATIONS/GUIDELINES RELATED TO THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS & AUTONOMOUS BUSES MARKET:
7.2 REGULATIONS RELATED TO AUTONOMOUS SHUTTLES AND BUSES
7.3 IMPACT OF CURRENT AND FUTURE REGULATIONS ON THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
8 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY PROPULSION TYPE (Page No. - 67)
8.1 INTRODUCTION
8.2 OPERATIONAL DATA
8.2.1 ASSUMPTIONS
8.2.2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
8.3 DIESEL
8.3.1 DOMINANCE OF DIESEL BUSES IN PUBLIC TRANSPORT FLEETS ACROSS THE WORLD TO HELP NORTH AMERICA LEAD THE MARKET
8.4 ELECTRIC
8.4.1 ELECTRIC BUS OEMS OFFERING ADVANCED FEATURES, ESPECIALLY IN NORTH AMERICA AND EUROPE
8.4.2 PRESENCE OF TECHNOLOGY PROVIDERS IN THE REGION TO HELP NORTH AMERICA LEAD THE SEGMENT
8.5 HYBRID
8.5.1 NORTH AMERICA IS PROJECTED TO DOMINATE THE HYBRID SEGMENT
8.5.2 INCREASING DEMAND FOR MORE EFFICIENT BUSSES WILL DOMINATE THE HYBRID SEGMENT
8.6 KEY INDUSTRY INSIGHTS
9 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY APPLICATION (Page No. - 75)
9.1 INTRODUCTION
9.2 OPERATIONAL DATA
9.2.1 ASSUMPTIONS
9.2.2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
9.3 SHUTTLE
9.3.1 DOMINATION OF EUROPEAN COMPANIES TO HELP THE REGION LEAD THE MARKET, AT LEAST INITIALLY
9.4 INTERCITY/INTRACITY
9.4.1 BUSES EQUIPPED WITH ADVANCED TECHNOLOGIES DRIVING THE MARKET
9.5 KEY INDUSTRY INSIGHTS
10 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY ADAS FEATURE (Page No. - 80)
10.1 INTRODUCTION
10.2 OPERATIONAL DATA
10.2.1 ASSUMPTIONS
10.2.2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
10.3 ADAPTIVE CRUISE CONTROL (ACC)
10.3.1 REDUCTION IN FUEL CONSUMPTION DUE TO ACC WILL DRIVE ITS DEMAND
10.4 AUTOMATIC EMERGENCY BRAKING (AEB)
10.4.1 INCREASING DEMAND FOR SAFETY IN PUBLIC TRANSPORT WOULD BOOST THE AEB SEGMENT
10.5 BLIND SPOT DETECTION (BSD)
10.5.1 INCREASING NUMBER OF ACCIDENTS TO HELP THE BSD SEGMENT TO GROW
10.6 INTELLIGENT PARK ASSIST (IPA)
10.6.1 EASE OF PARKING IN CONGESTED PLACES SUCH AS BUS DEPOTS AND BUS STATIONS TO BENEFIT IPA IN THE FUTURE
10.7 LANE KEEP ASSIST (LKA)
10.7.1 HIGH DEMAND FOR SAFETY FEATURES TO MINIMIZE THE RATE OF ACCIDENTS ON HIGHWAYS WILL DRIVE THE NORTH AMERICAN MARKET
10.8 TRAFFIC JAM ASSIST (TJA)
10.8.1 RISING FOCUS ON BETTER ROAD SAFETY AND ADVANCED AUTONOMOUS DRIVING TECHNOLOGY TO DRIVE THE NORTH AMERICAN MARKET
10.9 HIGHWAY PILOT (HP)
10.9.1 SHORT RANGE OBJECT DETECTION BY ULTRASONIC SENSORS WILL BOOST THE MARKET
10.10 KEY INDUSTRY INSIGHTS
11 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION (Page No. - 90)
11.1 INTRODUCTION
11.2 OPERATIONAL DATA
11.2.1 ASSUMPTIONS
11.2.2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
11.3 LEVEL 1
11.3.1 GOVERNMENT MANDATES FOR LEVEL 1 AUTOMATION WILL FUEL THE MARKET
11.4 LEVEL 2 & 3
11.4.1 UPGRADE OF MORE SAFETY FEATURES IN LEVEL 2 & 3 AUTOMATION WILL BOOST THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
11.5 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION
11.6 LEVEL 4
11.6.1 INCREASING TREND OF LEVEL 4 AUTONOMOUS SHUTTLES TO DRIVE THE EUROPEAN AND NORTH AMERICAN MARKETS
11.7 LEVEL 5
11.7.1 NORTH AMERICA IS EXPECTED TO BE THE FIRST TO ADOPT LEVEL 5 AUTONOMOUS BUSES OR SHUTTLES
11.8 KEY INDUSTRY INSIGHTS
12 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY SENSOR TYPE (Page No. - 99)
12.1 INTRODUCTION
12.2 OPERATIONAL DATA
12.2.1 ASSUMPTIONS
12.2.2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
12.3 CAMERA
12.3.1 OEMS OFFERING ADVANCED BUSES IN THE REGION TO BOOST THE NORTH AMERICAN REGION
12.4 RADAR
12.4.1 HIGH DEMAND FOR ACCURATE DATA WITH A PRECISE ANGULAR RESOLUTION DRIVING THE GROWTH OF RADAR SENSORS
12.5 LIDAR
12.5.1 ADAS APPLICATIONS SUPPORTED BY LIDAR WILL FUEL THE MARKET
12.6 ULTRASONIC
12.6.1 SHORT RANGE OBJECT DETECTION BY ULTRASONIC SENSORS WILL BOOST THE MARKET
12.7 KEY INDUSTRY INSIGHTS
13 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY REGION (Page No. - 113)
13.1 INTRODUCTION
13.1.1 INCREASING DEMAND FOR SAFE COMMERCIAL VEHICLES PROJECTED TO DRIVE THE MARKET
13.1.2 INCREASING DEMAND FOR EFFICIENT AND SAFE PUBLIC TRANSPORT MODE TO DRIVE THE MARKET
13.2 ASIA PACIFIC
13.2.1 CHINA
13.2.1.1 Large sales of advanced electric buses equipped with semi-autonomous driving features
13.2.2 JAPAN
13.2.2.1 Upcoming safety regulations will drive the Japanese semi-autonomous bus market
13.2.3 INDIA
13.2.3.1 Increasing government initiatives toward improving road safety to drive the Indian market
13.2.4 SOUTH KOREA
13.2.4.1 Mandating of FCW and LDW will fuel the South Korean market
13.3 EUROPE
13.3.1 PRESENCE OF LEADING TECHNOLOGY PROVIDERS IN THE REGION TO DRIVE THE EUROPEAN MARKET
13.3.2 FRANCE
13.3.2.1 Increasing trend of adoption of safe vehicles fueling the French market
13.3.3 GERMANY
13.3.3.1 Presence of leading bus OEMs to drive the German market
13.3.4 ITALY
13.3.4.1 Increasing vehicle safety concerns to drive the French market
13.3.5 SPAIN
13.3.5.1 Upcoming safety features mandate in the European region would boost the Spanish market as well
13.3.6 UK
13.3.6.1 Increasing initiatives from various institutions for installation of ADAS features will drive the UK market
13.4 NORTH AMERICA
13.4.1 THE US IS DRIVING AUTONOMOUS DRIVING TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENTS IN THE REGION
13.4.2 US
13.4.2.1 Increasing efforts from the government for the adoption of ADAS to reduce road crashes will drive the US market
13.4.3 CANADA
13.4.3.1 Increasing testing and trials in the country to drive the Canadian market
13.4.4 MEXICO
13.4.4.1 Increasing number of road crashes to drive the semi-autonomous bus market
13.5 REST OF THE WORLD
13.5.1 BRAZIL
13.5.1.1 The need to reduce traffic accidents will drive the market in Brazil
13.5.2 RUSSIA
13.5.2.1 Presence of companies investing and developing self-driving vehicles in Russia triggering the market
14 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE (Page No. - 135)
14.1 OVERVIEW
14.2 MARKET RANKING ANALYSIS FOR THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
14.3 MARKET RANKING ANALYSIS FOR THE AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
14.4 COMPETITIVE SCENARIO
14.4.1 COLLABORATIONS/JOINT VENTURES/SUPPLY CONTRACTS/ PARTNERSHIPS/AGREEMENTS
14.4.2 NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS
14.4.3 MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS, 20162017
14.4.4 EXPANSIONS, 20172019
14.5 COMPETITIVE LEADERSHIP MAPPING FOR THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
14.5.1 STARS
14.5.2 EMERGING LEADERS
14.5.3 PERVASIVE
14.5.4 EMERGING COMPANIES
14.6 STRENGTH OF PRODUCT PORTFOLIO
14.7 BUSINESS STRATEGY EXCELLENCE
14.8 WINNERS VS. TAIL-ENDERS
15 COMPANY PROFILES (Page No. - 147)
15.1 KEY PLAYERS
(Business overview, Products offered, Recent Developments, SWOT analysis, MNM view)*
15.1.1 AB VOLVO
15.1.2 BOSCH
15.1.3 CONTINENTAL
15.1.4 DENSO
15.1.5 APTIV
15.1.6 NVIDIA
15.1.7 DAIMLER
15.1.8 2GETTHERE (ZF)
15.1.9 LOCAL MOTORS (LM INDUSTRIES)
15.1.10 PROTERRA
15.1.11 EASYMILE
15.1.12 NAVYA-
*Details on Business overview, Products offered, Recent Developments, SWOT analysis, MNM view might not be captured in case of unlisted companies.
15.2 OTHER MAJOR PLAYERS
15.2.1 NORTH AMERICA
15.2.1.1 Qualcomm
15.2.1.2 Intel
15.2.1.3 Uber
15.2.2 EUROPE
15.2.2.1 Scania
15.2.2.2 NXP
15.2.2.3 IVECO
15.2.2.4 BMW
15.2.3 ASIA PACIFIC
15.2.3.1 Yutong
16 RECOMMENDATIONS BY MARKETSANDMARKETS (Page No. - 185)
16.1 NORTH AMERICA WILL BE A MAJOR SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
16.2 PUBLIC TRANSPORT SOLUTION CAN BE A KEY FOCUS FOR BUS OEMS
16.3 CONCLUSION
17 APPENDIX (Page No. - 186)
17.1 KEY INSIGHTS OF INDUSTRY EXPERTS
17.2 DISCUSSION GUIDE
17.3 KNOWLEDGE STORE: MARKETSANDMARKETS SUBSCRIPTION PORTAL
17.4 AVAILABLE CUSTOMIZATIONS
17.5 RELATED REPORTS
17.6 AUTHOR DETAILS
LIST OF TABLES (112 TABLES)
TABLE 1 INCLUSIONS & EXCLUSIONS OF THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
TABLE 2 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE (MOST LIKELY), BY REGION, 20242030 (UNITS)
TABLE 3 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE (OPTIMISTIC), BY REGION, 20242030 (UNITS)
TABLE 4 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE (PESSIMISTIC), BY REGION, 20242030 (UNITS)
TABLE 5 SOME NOTEWORTHY TESTING AND TRIALS OF AUTONOMOUS BUSES AND SHUTTLES:
TABLE 6 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY PROPULSION TYPE, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 7 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY PROPULSION TYPE, 20242030 (UNITS)
TABLE 8 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS DATA BASED ON PROPULSION TYPE
TABLE 9 DIESEL: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 10 ELECTRIC: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 11 ELECTRIC: AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20242030 (UNITS)
TABLE 12 HYBRID: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 13 HYBRID: AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20242030 (UNITS)
TABLE 14 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY APPLICATION, 20242030 (UNITS)
TABLE 15 AUTONOMOUS SHUTTLE DATA BASED ON APPLICATION
TABLE 16 SHUTTLE: AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20242030 (UNITS)
TABLE 17 INTERCITY/INTRACITY: AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20242030 (UNITS)
TABLE 18 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY ADAS FEATURE, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 19 TOP OEMS OFFERING BUSES WITH ADAS FEATURES
TABLE 20 CRASH REDUCTION THROUGH APPLICATION OF ADAS SYSTEMS
TABLE 21 ACC: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 22 AEB: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 23 BSD: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 24 IPA: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 25 LKA: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 26 TJA: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 27 HP: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 28 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 29 EUROPE BUS SALES DATA (MEDIUM AND HEAVY BUSES>3.5T)
TABLE 30 LEVEL 1: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20182025 (THOUSAND UNITS)
TABLE 31 LEVEL 2 & 3: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 32 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION, 20242030 (UNITS)
TABLE 33 LEVEL 4: AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20242030 (UNITS)
TABLE 34 LEVEL 5: AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20242030 (UNITS)
TABLE 35 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY SENSOR TYPE, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 36 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY SENSOR TYPE, 20182025 (USD MILLION)
TABLE 37 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY SENSOR TYPE, 20242030 (UNITS)
TABLE 38 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY SENSOR TYPE, 20242030 (USD THOUSAND)
TABLE 39 COMMERCIAL VEHICLE SALES DATA, 20162019
TABLE 40 CAMERA: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 41 CAMERA: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20182025 (USD MILLION)
TABLE 42 CAMERA: AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20242030 (UNITS)
TABLE 43 CAMERA: AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20242030 (USD THOUSAND)
TABLE 44 RADAR: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 45 RADAR: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20182025 (USD MILLION)
TABLE 46 RADAR: AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20242030 (UNITS)
TABLE 47 RADAR: AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20242030 (USD THOUSAND)
TABLE 48 LIDAR: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 49 LIDAR: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20182025 (USD MILLION)
TABLE 50 LIDAR: AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20242030 (UNITS)
TABLE 51 LIDAR: AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20242030 (USD THOUSAND)
TABLE 52 ULTRASONIC: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 53 ULTRASONIC: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20182025 (USD MILLION)
TABLE 54 ULTRASONIC: AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20242030 (UNITS)
TABLE 55 ULTRASONIC: AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20242030 (USD THOUSAND)
TABLE 56 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 57 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20242030 (UNITS)
TABLE 58 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 20242030 (USD MILLION)
TABLE 59 ASIA PACIFIC: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY COUNTRY, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 60 CHINA: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 61 JAPAN: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 62 INDIA: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 63 SOUTH KOREA: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 64 EUROPE: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY COUNTRY, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 65 FRANCE: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 66 GERMANY: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 67 ITALY: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 68 SPAIN: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 69 UK: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, LEVEL OF AUTOMATION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 70 NORTH AMERICA: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY COUNTRY, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 71 US: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 72 CANADA: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 73 MEXICO: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 74 ROW: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY COUNTRY, 20172027 (UNITS)
TABLE 75 BRAZIL: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 76 RUSSIA: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SIZE, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION, 20182025 (UNITS)
TABLE 77 COLLABORATIONS/JOINT VENTURES/SUPPLY CONTRACTS/PARTNERSHIPS/ AGREEMENTS, 20172019
TABLE 78 NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS, 20172018
TABLE 79 MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS, 20162017
TABLE 80 EXPANSIONS, 2017-2019
TABLE 81 WINNERS VS. TAIL-ENDERS
TABLE 82 AB VOLVO: THE COMPANY OFFERS THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS
TABLE 83 AB VOLVO: NEW PRODUCT LAUNCHES
TABLE 84 AB VOLVO: PARTNERSHIPS/COLLABORATIONS/JOINT VENTURES/SUPPLY CONTRACTS/AGREEMENTS/MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS
TABLE 85 BOSCH: THE COMPANY OFFERS THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS
TABLE 86 BOSCH: NEW PRODUCT LAUNCHES
TABLE 87 BOSCH: PARTNERSHIPS/COLLABORATIONS/JOINT VENTURES/SUPPLY CONTRACTS/AGREEMENTS/MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS
TABLE 88 CONTINENTAL: THE COMPANY OFFERS THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS
TABLE 89 CONTINENTAL: NEW PRODUCT LAUNCHES/EXPANSIONS
TABLE 90 CONTINENTAL: PARTNERSHIPS/COLLABORATIONS/JOINT VENTURES/AGREEMENTS/MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS
TABLE 91 DENSO: THE COMPANY OFFERS THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS
TABLE 92 DENSO: NEW PRODUCT LAUNCHES/EXPANSIONS
TABLE 93 DENSO: PARTNERSHIPS/COLLABORATIONS/JOINT VENTURES/AGREEMENTS/MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS
TABLE 94 APTIV: THE COMPANY OFFERS THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS
TABLE 95 APTIV: NEW PRODUCT LAUNCHES/EXPANSIONS
TABLE 96 APTIV: PARTNERSHIPS/COLLABORATIONS/JOINT VENTURES/AGREEMENTS/MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS
TABLE 97 NVIDIA: THE COMPANY OFFERS THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS
TABLE 98 NVIDIA: NEW PRODUCT LAUNCHES
TABLE 99 NVIDIA: PARTNERSHIPS/COLLABORATIONS/JOINT VENTURES/AGREEMENTS/MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS
TABLE 100 DAIMLER: THE COMPANY OFFERS THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS
TABLE 101 DAIMLER: NEW PRODUCT LAUNCHES
TABLE 102 DAIMLER: PARTNERSHIPS/COLLABORATIONS/JOINT VENTURES/AGREEMENTS/MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS
TABLE 103 2GETTHERE (ZF): THE COMPANY OFFERS THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS
TABLE 104 2GETTHERE (ZF): PARTNERSHIPS/COLLABORATIONS/JOINT VENTURES/AGREEMENTS/MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS
TABLE 105 LOCAL MOTORS (LM INDUSTRIES): PARTNERSHIPS/COLLABORATIONS/JOINT VENTURES/SUPPLY CONTRACTS/AGREEMENTS/MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS
TABLE 106 PROTERRA: THE COMPANY OFFERS THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:
TABLE 107 PROTERRA: EXPANSIONS
TABLE 108 PROTERRA: PARTNERSHIPS/COLLABORATIONS/JOINT VENTURES/SUPPLY CONTRACTS/AGREEMENTS/MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS
TABLE 109 EASYMILE: NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS
TABLE 110 EASYMILE: EXPANSIONS
TABLE 111 EASYMILE: PARTNERSHIPS/COLLABORATIONS/JOINT VENTURES/SUPPLY CONTRACTS/AGREEMENTS/MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS
TABLE 112 NAVYA: PARTNERSHIPS/COLLABORATIONS/JOINT VENTURES/SUPPLY CONTRACTS/AGREEMENTS/MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS
LIST OF FIGURES (60 FIGURES)
FIGURE 1 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS: MARKETS COVERED
FIGURE 2 AUTONOMOUS BUS: MARKETS COVERED
FIGURE 3 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS & AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET: RESEARCH DESIGN
FIGURE 4 RESEARCH DESIGN MODEL
FIGURE 5 BREAKDOWN OF PRIMARY INTERVIEWS
FIGURE 6 DATA TRIANGULATION
FIGURE 7 COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, 20182025
FIGURE 8 REVENUE SHIFT IN THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
FIGURE 9 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET: MARKET DYNAMICS
FIGURE 10 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY REGION, 20202025
FIGURE 11 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY PROPULSION TYPE, 2020 VS. 2025
FIGURE 12 INCREASING REGULATIONS FOR SAFETY FEATURES IN BUSES AND DEMAND FOR ADVANCED DRIVER ASSIST FEATURES TO DRIVE THE MARKET FOR SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUSES
FIGURE 13 SHORTAGE OF DRIVERS, EFFICIENT OPERATION, AND SAFETY TO DRIVE THE MARKET FOR AUTONOMOUS BUSES
FIGURE 14 ADVANCEMENT IN TECHNOLOGY TO DRIVE THE MARKET FOR AUTONOMOUS BUSES
FIGURE 15 ASIA PACIFIC IS PROJECTED TO BE THE FASTEST-GROWING SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
FIGURE 16 DIESEL SEGMENT PROJECTED TO BE THE LARGEST MARKET, 2020 VS. 2025 (UNITS)
FIGURE 17 ELECTRIC SEGMENT PROJECTED TO BE THE LARGEST MARKET, 2024 VS. 2030 (UNITS)
FIGURE 18 SHUTTLE SEGMENT PROJECTED TO BE THE LARGEST SEGMENT OF THE AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, 2024 VS. 2030 (UNITS)
FIGURE 19 AEB SEGMENT PROJECTED TO BE THE LARGEST SEGMENT OF THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, 2020 VS. 2025 (UNITS)
FIGURE 20 LEVEL 1 SEGMENT PROJECTED TO BE THE LARGEST SEGMENT OF THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, 2020 VS. 2025 (UNITS)
FIGURE 21 LEVEL 4 SEGMENT PROJECTED TO BE THE LARGEST SEGMENT OF THE AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, 2024 VS. 2030 (UNITS)
FIGURE 22 ULTRASONIC SEGMENT PROJECTED TO BE THE LARGEST SEGMENT OF THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, 2020 VS. 2025 (UNITS)
FIGURE 23 RADAR SEGMENT PROJECTED TO BE THE LARGEST SEGMENT OF THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, 2020 VS. 2025 (USD MILLION)
FIGURE 24 ULTRASONIC SEGMENT PROJECTED TO BE THE LARGEST SEGMENT OF THE AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, 2024 VS. 2030 (UNITS)
FIGURE 25 LIDAR SEGMENT PROJECTED TO BE THE LARGEST SEGMENT OF THE AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, 2024 VS. 2030 (USD THOUSAND)
FIGURE 26 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET: MARKET DYNAMICS
FIGURE 27 PORTERS FIVE FORCES MODEL: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS
FIGURE 28 VALUE CHAIN ANALYSIS: AV SOFTWARE & SENSOR DEVELOPMENT AND SYSTEM INTEGRATION PHASES ADD MAXIMUM VALUE
FIGURE 29 AVERAGE SELLING PRICE TREND FOR SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS SENSORS, BY REGION, 20182020
FIGURE 30 PATENT APPLICATION TRENDS LAST 5 YEARS
FIGURE 31 COUNTRY-WISE PATENT ANALYSIS
FIGURE 32 TOP PATENT APPLICANTS, 2010-2019
FIGURE 33 DIESEL SEGMENT TO DOMINATE THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD
FIGURE 34 ELECTRIC SEGMENT TO DOMINATE THE AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD
FIGURE 35 SHUTTLE SEGMENT TO DOMINATE THE AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD
FIGURE 36 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY ADAS FEATURE, 2020 VS. 2025 (UNITS)
FIGURE 37 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION, 2020 VS. 2025 (UNITS)
FIGURE 38 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION, 2024 VS. 2030 (UNITS)
FIGURE 39 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY SENSOR TYPE, 2020 VS. 2025 (UNITS)
FIGURE 40 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY SENSOR TYPE, 2020 VS. 2025 (USD MILLION)
FIGURE 41 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY SENSOR TYPE, 2024 VS. 2030 (UNITS)
FIGURE 42 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY SENSOR TYPE, 2024 VS. 2030 (USD THOUSAND)
FIGURE 43 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY REGION, 2020 VS. 2025 (UNITS)
FIGURE 44 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY REGION, 2024 VS. 2030 (UNITS)
FIGURE 45 ASIA PACIFIC: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SNAPSHOT
FIGURE 46 EUROPE: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY COUNTRY, 2020 VS. 2025 (UNITS)
FIGURE 47 NORTH AMERICA: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET SNAPSHOT
FIGURE 48 ROW: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY COUNTRY, 2020 VS. 2025 (UNITS)
FIGURE 49 KEY DEVELOPMENTS BY LEADING PLAYERS IN THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
FIGURE 50 SEMI AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET: COMPETITIVE LEADERSHIP MAPPING, 2019
FIGURE 51 PRODUCT PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS OF TOP PLAYERS IN SEMI AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
FIGURE 52 BUSINESS STRATEGY EXCELLENCE OF TOP PLAYERS IN SEMI AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
FIGURE 53 AB VOLVO: COMPANY SNAPSHOT (2019)
FIGURE 54 BOSCH: COMPANY SNAPSHOT (2019)
FIGURE 55 CONTINENTAL: COMPANY SNAPSHOT (2019)
FIGURE 56 DENSO: COMPANY SNAPSHOT (2019)
FIGURE 57 APTIV: COMPANY SNAPSHOT (2017)
FIGURE 58 NVIDIA: COMPANY SNAPSHOT
FIGURE 59 DAIMLER: COMPANY SNAPSHOT (2019)
FIGURE 60 NAVYA: COMPANY SNAPSHOT
The study involved four major activities in estimating the current size of the semi-autonomous and autonomous bus market. Exhaustive secondary research was done to collect information on the market, the peer market, and the parent market. The next step was to validate these findings, assumptions, and sizing with the industry experts across value chains through primary research. The top-down and bottom-up approaches were employed to estimate the complete market size. Thereafter, market breakdown and data triangulation processes were used to estimate the market size of segments and subsegments.
In the secondary research process, various secondary sources such as company annual reports/presentations, press releases, industry association publications [for example, publications of bus OEMs, Canadian Automobile Association (CAA), International Energy Agency (IEA), Federal Transit Administration (FTA), Regional Transportation Authority (RTA), country-level automotive associations and trade organizations, and the US Department of Transportation (DOT)], bus magazine articles, directories, technical handbooks, World Economic Outlook, trade websites, government organizations websites, and technical articles have been used to identify and collect information useful for an extensive commercial study of the global semi-autonomous and autonomous bus market.
Extensive primary research has been conducted after acquiring an understanding of this market scenario through secondary research. Several primary interviews have been conducted with market experts from the demand- and supply-side OEMs (in terms of component supply, country-level government associations, and trade associations) and component manufacturers across three major regions, namely, Asia Pacific, Europe, North America. Approximately 30% and 70% of primary interviews have been conducted from the demand and supply side, respectively. Primary data has been collected through questionnaires, emails, LinkedIn, and telephonic interviews. In the canvassing of primaries, we have strived to cover various departments within organizations, such as sales, operations, and administration, to provide a holistic viewpoint in our report.
After interacting with industry experts, we conducted brief sessions with highly experienced independent consultants to reinforce the findings from our primaries. This, along with the in-house subject matter experts opinions, has led us to the findings as described in the remainder of this report. Following is the breakdown of primary respondents.
To know about the assumptions considered for the study, download the pdf brochure
The top-down approach was used to estimate and validate the total market size. This method was also used extensively to estimate the size of various subsegments in the market. The research methodology used to estimate the market size includes the following:
After arriving at the overall market sizeusing the market size estimation processes as explained abovethe market was split into several segments and subsegments. To complete the overall market engineering process and arrive at the exact statistics of each market segment and subsegment, data triangulation, and market breakdown procedures were employed, wherever applicable. The data was triangulated by studying various factors and trends from both the demand and supply sides.
With the given market data, MarketsandMarkets offers customizations in line with the companys specific needs.
Growth opportunities and latent adjacency in Semi-Autonomous & Autonomous Bus Market